New Predictions
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[2:27] We think the S&P the stock market in the US has been in a topping process uh for a year since early last year.
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[13:57] we don't think the earnings is going to accelerate meaningfully in the near term.
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[6:22] the increase in US interest rates and the so-called flight to quality around the world is driving the US dollar higher and likely driving gold either sideways to down.
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[21:21] I think we're going to see a cliff dive in manufacturing and a realization this summer that we've gone right back into an industrial recession.
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[8:16] And to me, it's not if it will go to 7,000 is when. Might be a couple of years, might be five years. I don't think we'll see it this year.
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[2:27] We think the S&P the stock market in the US has been in a topping process uh for a year since early last year.
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[0:00] I still believe uh because momentum is very overbought here because relative strength is very overbought here that we could see a bit of a pullback you know back toward this deviation to the 20-day moving average is very large the deviation to the 100 and the 50-day is is very very large. This is a very big gap over the 50-day moving average. So you're eventually going to get a correction back to this level.
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[36:38] gold get up you get you get above 4,800 again and I'd say you know wipe your brow if you've been panicked
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[6:22] the increase in US interest rates and the so-called flight to quality around the world is driving the US dollar higher and likely driving gold either sideways to down.
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[35:15] I do honestly think we're probably headed back to about 50,000. That's my next target. 50,000 on Bitcoin.
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[0:11] Bitcoin, as I we showed earlier here, it's stairstepping its way down. It has a bearish chart pattern.
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Recently Settled
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[14:25] So I expect another surge in prices for oil at the at the end of this month just just due to that because there'll be a gap of of basically no deliveries
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The prediction claimed oil prices would surge at the end of April due to delivery gaps; the period high reached $108.6 on April 29 (trading day 4), representing a 13.3% rise from the prediction date price of $95.85, confirming a significant surge occurred within the target window.
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[15:08] I think what's next is a massive air and missile campaign that begins sometime on Monday that is designed to destroy the Iranian state and cause the disintegration of the Iranian society.
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No massive air and missile campaign against Iran began on Monday, April 20, 2026. Instead, the US-Iran ceasefire (in effect since April 7-8) continued, with Trump stating it would end 'Wednesday evening Washington time' and VP Vance traveling to Pakistan for further negotiations. While tensions escalated with a US seizure of an Iranian ship, no new massive bombing campaign was launched that Monday. (https://edition.cnn.com/2026/04/20/world/live-news/iran-war-us-trump-israel)
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[2:24] the markets are threatening and pushing up to maybe hit all-time highs here in the um next couple of sessions.
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The S&P 500 hit a period high of $7147.52 on 2026-04-17, surpassing the all-time high of $7002.28 set on 2026-01-28, confirming the prediction that it would hit all-time highs within the next couple of sessions.
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[28:40] Fed meeting coming up end of April... What do you think? Do you think cuts are on the table or no or hope? No.
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The Fed held rates steady at 3.5%–3.75% at the April 29, 2026 FOMC meeting, making no cut. This was the third consecutive pause, with markets pricing in a 100% chance of no change. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260429a.htm)
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[26:05] So on Friday the latest CPI numbers come out. And they're going to show the effects of the Iran war and they're going to show headline inflation going spiking in a quite dramatic way.
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The March 2026 CPI report (released April 10, 2026) showed headline inflation jumping to 3.3% YoY — up sharply from 2.4% in February — driven largely by a 21.2% monthly surge in gasoline prices tied to the Iran war and Strait of Hormuz disruptions. The prediction of a dramatic headline inflation spike due to the Iran war was correct. (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_04102026.htm)
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[9:26] We're kind of the end run of the dollar as a world's reserve currency. Um, you know, where it loses tremendous amounts of value, you know, quickly.
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[0:32] The facts are that the debt keeps climbing, the dollar keeps being devalued, and those who are not position for what comes next risk losing everything.
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[11:15] once you get that down you still have the issue of what's going on even prior to those oil price spikes and that's where I think you get this longer term high-end inflation probably between three and 4%.
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[6:55] instead the inflation is moving away toward the 3 to 3 12% range
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[27:35] But I this being said, we're so close to the midterms. I I will boldly predict that there's going to be another postponement of forcing people onto harsher repayment plans for their student loans.
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[0:00] you're in this very short-term period here where we're cycling through uh the tariff announcement from a year ago where it feels like we've got higher year-over-year economic growth, but we would expect that to turn back to a growth deceleration uh within a couple of months and you're back to this sort of stagflationary type environment for the next couple of quarters.
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