New Predictions
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[0:00] I think there's going to be a lot of volatility in the market. I don't think that you have to be a genius to see that. There's just a lot of stresses. Valuations are high, tensions are high... All of this stuff is hitting at one time and I think investors need to be preparing for volatility... it's going to be, I think, a wild ride.
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[12:12] I think you're going to see the 10-year notes reach 6% before the year is over.
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[3:07] Prairie Sky did very well up 52%. Still like it here. >> Yeah. Like it a lot. I mean 20 million plus acres in the western Canadian sedimentary basin with just huge long-term optionality run by a really astute management team. Lot of interesting things going on now with different technologies extracting oil and gas. And we're actually starting to see some more visibility around kind of LNG in Canada. So again, 5 10 year outlook. Love the company.
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[28:37] I I think so. I mean, with commodity prices so high, particularly with energy prices so high, um I think that's the environment that we're in. Um and so unless something changes really on that front, David, I think we're going to have, you know, inflation numbers that are slightly more elevated than certainly expectations were at the beginning of the year.
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[1:33] home prices g nationally are starting to roll. There's still some bright spots in the blue cities. So, uh nationally, they're starting to roll over and that's 20% of the economy... So that should should filter in over the next uh 6 to 12 months as construction layoffs continue.
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[15:23] I'm expecting 40 to 60%. You said it in the headline. And I'm not expecting it in one day nor tomorrow. But at the end of the day, if you're a true investor and investing money that you can afford, there's really nothing you should do other than learn how to hedge your portfolio or let it sit
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[27:53] maybe the stock market continues making new nominal highs. I mean, I, you know, I've kind of given up on being a bear on the stock market.
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[17:34] I think over the long term, absolutely. Short term, clearly there's something funky going on in the funding market and with correlations and who knows with algorithms and momentum trading. So, but yes.
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[3:28] I think you know if if you want to draw an analogy I think the best is um if we compare it you know to climbing a mountain climbing Mount Everest which is uh 8 almost 8,900 m high which is almost exactly our long-term price target.
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[26:33] We do. We think kind of you there's a lot of different frameworks to look at Bitcoin. You can kind of look at the hash rate and the mining economics and the halving cycle, the stock to flow, but I think all of the reasons that you want to own real-world assets also has a very similar thesis that applies to blockchain and Bitcoin.
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[19:45] in spite of recent price behavior in Bitcoin, gold, and silver, you know, I'm still massively bullish on all three of these things. And, and we're just in kind of one of those periods where they they got ahead of themselves last year.
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Recently Settled
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[10:09] it's trading 900, it's going to touch a thousand. Uh, you know, there's an old saying in the trading business, if it's trading 90, it's going to 100. We sell all the time. And, uh, what we're finding is if it's tra, the same holds true in the hundreds. If it's trading 900, it will go to a,000. And so I think Micron's going to going to get there potentially this week.
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The period high of $1089.29 on 2026-06-03 exceeded the $1,000 target within the prediction window (potentially this week), confirming Micron did reach $1,000 per share.
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[10:39] they're probably going to try and hold silver below 70. I think it's 78. And if they can push it below 77, they will.
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The prediction claimed silver would face downward pressure below $77-$78, and specifically that if pushed below $77 it would go further; the period low reached $74.32 on the target date, confirming silver did break below both $77 and $78 thresholds from the prediction date price of $76.31 (which was already below $77-$78, and the low confirmed continued downward pressure).
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[7:23] I would be very very surprised if there's going to be a major breakthrough this week.
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The Trump-Xi summit (May 12–15, 2026) produced some trade commitments (Boeing aircraft, agricultural purchases, new trade boards), but expert analysis from CFR, Brookings, Atlantic Council, and CSIS consistently described the visit as lacking major breakthroughs — 'thin on substance,' 'big show with little to show for it,' and 'few specific public commitments.' The prediction that there would be no major breakthrough was correct. (https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/fastthinking/what-did-trump-and-xi-accomplish/)
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[5:42] The new highs we just saw, I think, are transient. I think it we we we thought it would occur and we thought that probably it would extend into this month and i suspect you may even make higher highs this month than you did last.
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The prediction claimed higher highs in May 2026 than April 2026 (ATH reference $7272.52 on 2026-05-01); the period high reached $7599.38 on 2026-05-29, which exceeds the April high, confirming the prediction.
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[0:00] I still believe uh because momentum is very overbought here because relative strength is very overbought here that we could see a bit of a pullback you know back toward this deviation to the 20-day moving average is very large the deviation to the 100 and the 50-day is is very very large. This is a very big gap over the 50-day moving average. So you're eventually going to get a correction back to this level.
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The prediction called for a pullback to the 20-day or 50-day moving averages due to overbought conditions, implying a decline from the prediction date price of $7200.75, but the period low was $7174.12 (only a ~0.4% dip) and the price then rallied 5.7% to $7609.78 by the target date, never experiencing a meaningful pullback toward those moving averages.
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[6:54] more money printing is only a question of time. Only a question of time.
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[29:01] the average life span of a reserve currency is right at 90 years old. Okay, we're already there. So, if you go back, you know, before us it was Britain and then it was France, Netherlands, Spain, and on and on. So, the average just in the last 5 600 years the average life span, if you do the math, is right at 90. Well, we're over 100.
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[7:18] in this type of environment, if we think the true rate of inflation is going to be skewing more 3 to 5 versus the more historical, at least targeted benchmark of two, I think that you should be looking at a minimum hurdle bench rate benchmark rate of return of around 10% in these assets.
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[28:37] I I think so. I mean, with commodity prices so high, particularly with energy prices so high, um I think that's the environment that we're in. Um and so unless something changes really on that front, David, I think we're going to have, you know, inflation numbers that are slightly more elevated than certainly expectations were at the beginning of the year.
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[19:01] no recession in the immediate outlook. All the data look okay. The money supply is being gooseed. Everything is being pumped up.
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[9:43] I still see growth uh maintaining at above 2% this year very close to the the baseline and and the Fed's baseline
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