New Predictions
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[5:28] we we we grew our production 60% year-on-year to our guidance of 50 to 55,000 ounces this year.
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[11:11] I I think they probably will be forced to tighten up and the reason for that is that the inflation genie is out of the bottle it's at 4.2% 2% now and I and and the target is 2%. That's over double a target. It's not even close to the target. So, it's very hard to argue against not squeezing and tightening things down with with when you have inflation running over double its target rate.
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[9:16] my target would be at least 33 to 34,000 on the NASDAQ. Uh and I would have to you know re you know calibrate because we have seen these moves also on the Cosby and elsewhere where it's just been going you know vertical.
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[1:48] clearly we're going higher and the only issue is when. And I I think the when is this year. Um, maybe in the, you know, now it's beginning to look more like it's a third quarter thing, but we'll see.
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[0:03] The Ford earnings on Nvidia are complete baloney... Because because they're concentrated with a handful of companies, you know, think of like the forward earnings of Microsoft. that those earnings um or Google, they have like millions of counterparties that give them that revenue. The the counterparties to to Nvidia are like a handful of companies that are dependent on that.
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[0:19] the top will be in Q3 of this year. And uh that's being as bold as I can right now.
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[26:06] I mean, it's going the opposite. It's it's not doing that. If anything, tech is eating more and more of the S&P 500... we're going to have over the next 5 years, 7 10 years, we're going to have this big transition where the S&P 500's composition goes from 50% tech to maybe 30% tech. And hard asset companies like the BHPs, like the Rio Tintos, like the Alcoas, like the the Agniko Eagles, they become a bigger part of these.
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[28:57] silver and gold have had their time in the sun for now... but not new alltime highs here. This is this was gone. This was the that was that time they they had their time with the sun and now you're going to see that coming to the equities and then you're going to see it coming into crypto
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[1:48] clearly we're going higher and the only issue is when. And I I think the when is this year. Um, maybe in the, you know, now it's beginning to look more like it's a third quarter thing, but we'll see.
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[31:01] 100,000, yeah, 100,000 I see definitely and I think it could go to either 100 orund up to 120,000. But that I think was going to be the top in that range.
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[31:34] If you said to me when Bitcoin was 126, in fact, I had conversations with my partners, uh, everyone was thumping on their chest, we're at 126, we're right, everyone else is wrong. I said, 'Yeah, you know, we're right, but we're probably going to see a 40 to 50% correction on the way to 250,000. I don't think we go from 126 to 250.'
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Recently Settled
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[8:50] Right now, we traded down in the 68s today. Okay, I'm going to tell you this. If next week you see it up in the 62 to uh excuse me, 72 to 74 zone and you're short, you better recover. Okay? Uh because you've had your three shots to break this market down into the 50 buck level or wherever you think it's going to go. Um and you failed.
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Silver (SI=F) never reached the $72-74 zone during the prediction window (June 6-12). The lone $72.73 print was an intraday high on the prediction date itself (June 5, close $68.94), before any recovery. Over the following week silver fell instead — to a $63.74 low — and closed at $67.86 on the June 12 deadline. The forward-looking call (recover to $72-74) did not occur.
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[10:09] it's trading 900, it's going to touch a thousand. Uh, you know, there's an old saying in the trading business, if it's trading 90, it's going to 100. We sell all the time. And, uh, what we're finding is if it's tra, the same holds true in the hundreds. If it's trading 900, it will go to a,000. And so I think Micron's going to going to get there potentially this week.
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The period high of $1089.29 on 2026-06-03 exceeded the $1,000 target within the prediction window (potentially this week), confirming Micron did reach $1,000 per share.
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[10:39] they're probably going to try and hold silver below 70. I think it's 78. And if they can push it below 77, they will.
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The prediction claimed silver would face downward pressure below $77-$78, and specifically that if pushed below $77 it would go further; the period low reached $74.32 on the target date, confirming silver did break below both $77 and $78 thresholds from the prediction date price of $76.31 (which was already below $77-$78, and the low confirmed continued downward pressure).
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[7:23] I would be very very surprised if there's going to be a major breakthrough this week.
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The Trump-Xi summit (May 12–15, 2026) produced some trade commitments (Boeing aircraft, agricultural purchases, new trade boards), but expert analysis from CFR, Brookings, Atlantic Council, and CSIS consistently described the visit as lacking major breakthroughs — 'thin on substance,' 'big show with little to show for it,' and 'few specific public commitments.' The prediction that there would be no major breakthrough was correct. (https://www.atlanticcouncil.org/content-series/fastthinking/what-did-trump-and-xi-accomplish/)
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[0:00] I still believe uh because momentum is very overbought here because relative strength is very overbought here that we could see a bit of a pullback you know back toward this deviation to the 20-day moving average is very large the deviation to the 100 and the 50-day is is very very large. This is a very big gap over the 50-day moving average. So you're eventually going to get a correction back to this level.
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The prediction called for a pullback to the 20-day or 50-day moving averages due to overbought conditions, implying a decline from the prediction date price of $7200.75, but the period low was $7174.12 (only a ~0.4% dip) and the price then rallied 5.7% to $7609.78 by the target date, never experiencing a meaningful pullback toward those moving averages.
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[29:44] I expect the dollar to weaken a little somewhat here actually down to 94 maybe a little lower than that on the Dixie
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[16:11] The percentage of dollar global foreign exchange reserves, right, has been on the decline for the last 25 years. We're about to drop under 50%. The dollar's about to drop under 50%.
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[14:57] I think I think we've got inflation baked into the next 5 years at least, maybe longer.
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[9:25] the probability that we have a pretty nasty inflation shock later in the year, the summer driving season with a World Cup... you've got the summer driving season. You've got a lot of key supply chain disruptions that all around the world and like it's just that sulfuric acid situation that are going to create this like inflation bounce through the year and that's going to move money probably from growth stocks over toward value stocks.
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[18:24] I think we're now on a sort of decline financially and economically, but we're going to hit a point where the decline then becomes a sudden drop. And I think we're going to find ourselves into something akin to a depression.
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[24:58] I think the economy is going to be far weaker in the second half of the year. The fiscal fund and games uh underpinning the consumer. uh the stepped up income tax refunds, that's in the review mirror. The stimulus from the World Cup, that's in the review mirror. You're going to find the second half of the year in the United States, there's going to be a spending vacuum.
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