New Predictions
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[18:34] I think we're in the middle of a bull market. Um this golden era of technology, and we need to take full advantage. I'm fully invested. I I'm 100% invested.
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[31:16] But in the long run, I I am and even in the short run, I'm very constructive on gold. Look, I don't know where it's going to be next week or next month, but I am constructive on gold, both near-term and long-term.
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[37:55] I'm going to go that he's he's going to hike 25.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The FOMC voted 12-0 on September 16, 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4.00%, and Kevin Warsh is indeed the current Fed Chair. Both elements of the prediction — Warsh as Chair and a 25 bps hike — proved correct. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
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[0:33:46] I would be shocked if we didn't see beginning tonight or tomorrow um sort of a what Demi at Military Summary would call a mega strike uh where the target is, you know, electricity, heat, water, and so on. I hope it doesn't happen, but that looks like it's it's it's teed up.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Russia did launch drone and missile strikes on Ukraine on the night of Sept. 16-17, 2026, injuring 13-20 people across Kyiv, Odesa, and Zaporizhzhia regions. However, the attacks were a moderate-scale operation (131 aerial targets destroyed/suppressed) damaging buildings, not the large-scale 'mega strike' specifically targeting electricity, heat, and water infrastructure as predicted. (https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/17/at-least-19-injured-in-russian-attacks-across-ukraine)
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[3:09] So, so they will raise rates. Um they historically do not want to disappoint markets when probabilities are even north of 75%. It's generally a lock that they will do what the markets are anticipating.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The FOMC voted unanimously (12-0) on September 16, 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4%, exactly as predicted. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
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[18:34] I think we're in the middle of a bull market. Um this golden era of technology, and we need to take full advantage. I'm fully invested. I I'm 100% invested.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[30:37] But as long as the market continues to go along, we could, you know, we could see stocks continue to move higher. But it's not real. It's not real. So in that sense the E in the price to earnings ratio the earnings and the price to earnings ratio is very much at risk.
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[31:16] But in the long run, I I am and even in the short run, I'm very constructive on gold. Look, I don't know where it's going to be next week or next month, but I am constructive on gold, both near-term and long-term.
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[40:15] Oh yes, I'm very constructive on the precious metals... gold and silver prices are going to at least keep up with the underlying inflationary um uh system that the globe is dependent upon... I think um you know we've suffered from this severe correction in the markets. Uh the markets have all stabilized. uh the big gold and silver companies are almost back up to their old highs and so I think the outlook in the in these areas is very strong
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[22:07] this pattern in technical analysis is what we call a bull flag and it's potentially setting up for another leg higher in the near term on Bitcoin. So again, I remain bullish here on Bitcoin per the chart as long as we hold above 75,500.
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[25:24] What I'm saying about the Bitcoin is I'm like you will understand and the price will be higher.
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Recently Settled
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[37:55] I'm going to go that he's he's going to hike 25.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The FOMC voted 12-0 on September 16, 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4.00%, and Kevin Warsh is indeed the current Fed Chair. Both elements of the prediction — Warsh as Chair and a 25 bps hike — proved correct. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
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[0:33:46] I would be shocked if we didn't see beginning tonight or tomorrow um sort of a what Demi at Military Summary would call a mega strike uh where the target is, you know, electricity, heat, water, and so on. I hope it doesn't happen, but that looks like it's it's it's teed up.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Russia did launch drone and missile strikes on Ukraine on the night of Sept. 16-17, 2026, injuring 13-20 people across Kyiv, Odesa, and Zaporizhzhia regions. However, the attacks were a moderate-scale operation (131 aerial targets destroyed/suppressed) damaging buildings, not the large-scale 'mega strike' specifically targeting electricity, heat, and water infrastructure as predicted. (https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2026/9/17/at-least-19-injured-in-russian-attacks-across-ukraine)
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[3:09] So, so they will raise rates. Um they historically do not want to disappoint markets when probabilities are even north of 75%. It's generally a lock that they will do what the markets are anticipating.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The FOMC voted unanimously (12-0) on September 16, 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4%, exactly as predicted. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
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[19:28] I expect that they will raise rates. Do I I think it'll be a policy mistake. I don't think one rate hike will be a policy mistake, but if they raise their dots and they ratify what the market's priced in and then we're not talking about just one rate hike, but four or five, I don't think the economy can withstand it.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Federal Reserve raised its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4% at its September 16–17, 2026 meeting, confirmed by both the Federal Reserve's own implementation note and CNBC reporting. The prediction that the Fed would raise rates at the September 2026 meeting was correct. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260916a1.htm)
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[9:06] I've got support pegged right now at about 4350 and it is based on not only a fib level but this bottom right in here and this bottom here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed support at ~$4,350, and the period low was $4,273.3, which broke through that support level, meaning the $4,350 support did not hold during the prediction window.
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[33:01] I am fundamentally bearish on the US dollar. Mhm. Uh I think biding policy is an absolute mess and now we're going to have fiscal gridlock... I think the US dollar is at risk of going through a long-term bare market.
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[14:13] the dollar is breaking you know, and I I put out a post on X recently that confidence is slowly eroded and then it just collapses.
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[20:14] And there's every anticipation that it's going to continue to come down. The Bureau of Economic Analysis has announced that portfolio management fees, which I've been complaining about forever as being this huge input to the core PCE is I'm like, 'Okay, wait. We're saying that assets under management because the stock market is going up, should be reflected as consumer demand in the PPI and flow through to the PCE. That doesn't make any sense. The BEA is correcting for that.'
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[25:43] the ultimate consequences uh of that type of behavior is that in general there's either a crack up in the economy uh where the economy goes into a sort of deflationary depression or where as a result of government debt and obligations the economy um becomes exposed to higher and higher rates of inflation. or even hyperinflation in the economy when uh participants all become generally aware of the fact that the government's never going to pay it back
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[16:21] I dare say that Scott Besson's not quite finished with some of the things that he can do for the bond market.
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[1:20] I think we are close. I think that the uh worldwide economy is uh suffering from financial distress throughout the economy.
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