Gareth Soloway Predictions
President of Verified Investing
Track Gareth Soloway's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
- Submit corrections
See quote
[1:20] I could see us heading to about 8,000. But the key factors here are is that we saw the PCE data, which is inflation data. It came in a little bit better than expected... And I think that's where we're probably headed by year end. I would even wonder if we could get there by the midterms.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[25:07] I still think $50 on silver is likely our downside move here, maybe even piercing 50.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[31:02] I'm actually in the camp that we may have a little bit more upside here, but I'm looking for a bigger pullback to maybe as low as 67,000 where I would be a a big buyer at that point.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:41] So, I think in the near term, we're basically there. I am expecting a pullback that's going to be at least bringing us back below 5%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:23] my fear is that we don't see 10% inflation, I don't think that's going to happen, even 7%, but do we stay between 3 and 4% for the foreseeable future, which adds up year-over-year to massive price increases over 5 or 10 years?
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[18:45] anything above 7575 on the S&P, I remain bullish. Um in terms of targets, it's very simple how I come up with this target... we're only about 1 and 1/2, 1.37, 1.75% away. So, we could hit that before the midterms very, very easily. In fact, in the next couple weeks.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[21:42] I do think in the next year it will. I think in the near term it's getting a little overbought. Even though there's a bullish pattern, it might need to pull back. But I do think in the next year, yes, you will hit 100,000.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[22:54] long-term I I think it's going to 13,000 is my upside target by 202029 to 2031, few years out, yes.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[26:23] I'm anticipating further downside by the midterms. We should get down to this $78 per barrel level.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:09] So, so they will raise rates. Um they historically do not want to disappoint markets when probabilities are even north of 75%. It's generally a lock that they will do what the markets are anticipating.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The FOMC voted unanimously (12-0) on September 16, 2026 to raise the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 3.75%–4%, exactly as predicted. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
See quote
[7:58] I do think that the longer oil stays elevated, the longer the inflation becomes imbred in the system... But ultimately, I think 50 basis points at this stage.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:51] I could argue here that we could see rates fall if the Fed raises rates... the long end could fall is because you have a loss of confidence in people buying our debt... I could see this 5% as being a pullback level on the 10-year yield.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[17:58] I think the markets are going to rally tomorrow if Jerome Powell stays the course, raises and stays relatively hawkish.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the S&P 500 would rally on September 16, 2026, but the closing price fell -0.4% from $7585.73 to $7551.81, and while the period high reached $7626.79 (a gain of ~0.54%), the close was negative, indicating no sustained rally occurred.
See quote
[17:36] What we can see here on the S&P 500 is that we are right into a major trend line here around 7575 on the S&P that as long as we stay above this I remain bullish on the markets.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[20:06] If we break below 7,400, that's when I would get very very concerned. That's a major trend line that goes all the way back to the peak of the bull market in 2021. And if we break below that, we likely head all the way down to 7,000.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[22:07] this pattern in technical analysis is what we call a bull flag and it's potentially setting up for another leg higher in the near term on Bitcoin. So again, I remain bullish here on Bitcoin per the chart as long as we hold above 75,500.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[25:12] Bitcoin. Honestly, the chart setup is the best on Bitcoin right now heading into year end.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:27] I think you can get it a little bit cheaper in the coming weeks or months. But if you have a long-term horizon, you know, whether you get it $100, $200 cheaper, it doesn't really matter if you're thinking the upside is 10K or 15K in the next cycle.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:23] shorter term, it's a little fuzzier. If you're someone that's looking for an entry, like I'm not a buyer of gold this second. I think you can get it a little bit cheaper in the coming weeks or months.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[27:09] I'm in the case that oil is probably closer to a top here than not... oil's coming down. Could it go a little bit higher? Of course, it could. But I am short oil here and I think it's coming down here in the near term.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[29:44] I think at this point I think oil is probably closer to a major high and going to $50. Like I would say this oil to 50 before 150.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[28:29] I think the play here is to be long bonds expecting rates to come in and oil to come in.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[32:38] I think it could last with the capex from AI maybe to 2030. But at some point you have a crash and we know that's a crash off drugs or the patient dies which is the worst scenario.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[34:28] More and more factories are coming online to produce memory and all of these things and that's going to bring the margins down. So AI margins are not going to be at 80% for the next 30 40 years. There's going to be a draw down and margins honestly probably go back to 20% and that means a huge revaluation for a lot of these stocks that have been parabolic.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[2:00] The middle ground here is that there would be no rate hike at all on the September 16th meeting. And I think that's his game plan here. Again, the Fed will have to show that they're independent. So, they certainly won't be cutting rates. But I think if we get a decent number next week on the CPI and PPI showing, you know, somewhat muted inflation, it'll open the door for that middle ground, which is probably his end goal here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Fed did raise rates at the September 16, 2026 meeting. The FOMC voted 12-0 to increase the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 3.75%–4.00%, marking the first rate hike since July 2023. The prediction that there would be no rate hike was incorrect. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/09/16/fed-rate-decision-september-2026.html)
See quote
[5:52] I still think we don't get a rate hike this year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[6:18] end of year to me at least is going to be a whole lot of chop. And I think again I I I don't know if it will trend a little bit higher. Now, the the bigger scorecard here is that we have broken out... I would expect a whole lot of kind of just sideways generally trending neutral to maybe higher chop into year end.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:52] then it opens up the door for that next big breakout which I think honestly takes us by 2030 13,000 I think is a very realistic price target.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[14:56] I do think silver still heads generally higher, but I'd be a little bit more cautious on silver that we could still dip and make a lower low, maybe down to $50 uh an ounce before it fully bottoms out.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[1:31] yes, the charts are saying higher that we're likely headed I have a target of around 81 to 8200 on the S&P by year-end. But I think again, this is the final throws before something much worse is on the horizon that's going to hit probably in early 2027.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[11:04] I think inflation is going to stick in this 3 to 4% range, and then ultimately the labor market is going to continue to weaken here, um and we will see essentially a a mini stagflationary scenario in 2027.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[21:10] I do think you are going to get a retrace here. We're probably going to come back towards 4,000, maybe even 39 3,900.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[21:31] I do have it pens penciled out based on a calculator and and calculations that I've done is that by 2029 2031, we'll be at 13,000 on gold.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:01] I think that the president will want to get crypto voters back to the back to the polls or back to the voting boxes in November. And he's going to try to push that Clarity Act through before the midterms. And I think that will give you a 10% to 15% run in Bitcoin, maybe even more, taking it into the 70-75,000 range.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:46] I don't, by the way, think gold's going to zoom right to 5600 again. It's going to take some time. It's going to take some digestion, but that's the first step in potentially seeing gold start to recover and move back to its all-time highs.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[15:49] My the level where I will start accumulating more gold is at around 35 to 3700. So, we're almost there. We get one more little flush down.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[10:03] it's telling me that 13,000 is going to be the next peak, but again, between 2029 and 2031.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[18:42] I actually still think there's a good chance we touch $50 and retrace to the 2011 peak before silver really has its day its next bit major run.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[19:00] I wouldn't be surprised if silver still has more downside. Now, you might say, well, if gold can gold break out without silver and the answer is it can. It's generally unlikely, but it could break out slightly.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[19:51] for all we know, gold silver could come back to $45 or $40 per ounce.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[17:08] I do think that ultimately you will see the miners outperform gold. So, for those of us out there that want that better return, now it comes with added risk.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:11] I could see Sandis going back to 13-,500, 50% upside potentially off the lows.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:37] I do think I think the tops are in in a lot of markets, including the semiconductors, because I do think margins are going to compress. There's no doubt about it.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:08] you're going to get a snapback that's probably epic in these stocks. I mean, I could see Sandis going back to 13-,500, 50% upside potentially off the lows. But at the same time, you got to just be realistic that these are cyclical... I do think again bounces are to be sold into uh in the semis.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[21:54] I'm actually bullish on the Cosby now. It's finally corrected enough where I actually think it's going to find some major technical support.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[28:52] you can really see this like you know Kagra these these boring old school stocks. Look at since the market's been struggling Kagra which again pays like a 7% dividend 6% dividend is now up about 20% off of its lows... I think there's a partial here. I think part of the money is kind of being pulled out... part of it is absolutely rotating into other names.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[13:02] I don't think this correction is over. I don't think that we're going to new all-time highs on the semiconductors. I am relatively confident, high probability that the top is in for the cycle of these.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[6:11] Economy should weaken by year end.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[7:01] I would at most expect one rate hike the end of this or later in this year and possibly no rate hikes and even cuts as early as next year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[15:04] Oracle to me, everyone's so bearish on it and it's into technical support. Two trend lines converging. This to me could bounce back to 150 within days um on the charts as well.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed Oracle could bounce back to $150 within days, but the period high was only $132.4 on the last trading day, well short of the $150 target (which would require a ~18.7% gain from $126.41).
See quote
[21:24] I do not anticipate oil going back above 100 this year. I would be very very surprised and you can hold me to that in our next interview um that if oil goes above I'd be wrong but I think it stops at 87ish or so and I think by by the midterms we're back to the 60s.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:40] I still think based on the chart that there might be one final flush down to about the 3500 level, but basically anything below 4,000, I'm starting to look at it very attractively as a buy.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[24:59] looking towards later this decade over the next couple years, I think gold is headed much much higher. And so, you know, this is where you can be a shorter term bearer, but really longer term mega bull on gold. the government spending, the lack of fiscal control, all of these things play into much much further upside over the next few years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[28:51] maybe we're due for a run up to about the 7172,000 level. And that's actually what the target would be, the calculated target of this inverse head and shoulders. So, I am bullish on Bitcoin here, at least in the near-term. If it ever takes out the 58,000 level to the downside, then I would have to flip back to being bearish for a move down to 50,000.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[32:10] I don't expect it to go much higher. And I think again with the economy potentially weakening later this year, it's very likely we could start heading down on yields over the next, let's say, 3 to 6 months.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:19] it probably goes to 10k by 2030 or earlier but we just got to use this as a buying opportunity and accept
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:21] I still hold out and I still think it has likely further downside to go... your $3,500 call. you're obvious I'm assuming you're sticking to it... Now that we're below 4,000, we're now within $500 of my final target.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:06] I've been saying 54 and then $50 is likely where it's headed. I still think 54 at minimum. I will start nibbling at 54, but I still think there's a highly likely chance that we're headed to that even number of 50 and even piercing 50.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[18:34] if this breaks and confirms below this 60,000 level, we're headed to 50. That's the next big stop on this this track. So, um you know, I still, and I said this to you before, is even even though we're going to get bounces along the way, I still think Bitcoin is going down to at least 50 or 49. Maybe worst case is like 35.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:22] I do, but more so that the S&P P plays catch-up. So, so for instance, I think you might see a little outperformance on Bitcoin. That doesn't mean both are going to go up. What it to me would mean would be that the S&P actually starts to play catch-up um to the downside and maybe Bitcoin doesn't fall percentage-wise quite as much.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[20:56] I would say that's a very low probability scenario. The reason I say that is that ultimately we have now broken a key ups sloping trend line from the lows of March... these are beginning signals that you may be entering a downtrend period.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed S&P 500 would not reach 7,630 by end of June 2026 and is entering a downtrend. The period high was only 7,577.92, which did not reach 7,630, so that specific price target claim is correct. However, the market actually rose 3.2% from the prediction date to target date close, and the period shows an upward move rather than a downtrend, making the 'entering a downtrend' portion wrong. The overall bearish sentiment was wrong as prices rose.
See quote
[21:52] I would just caution if you look at midterms, there's usually a sell-off in the summer before the midterms. There's other factors also inclusive of the overbought semis that probably bring this market back in a little bit.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a sell-off in summer 2026 ahead of midterms, but the S&P 500 rose from $7266.99 to a period high of $7816.7 (a gain of ~7.6%) with only a trivial dip to $7257.33 on day 1, and closed at $7670.84 (+5.6%) by the target date — no meaningful sell-off occurred.
See quote
[17:56] I think the first day on Friday when it become it's it could literally you could see your screen freezing up. it's probably going to be that crazy of people trying to rush in and buy it. Um, once the dust settles, I think it will fade. I still think it's going to be up well above the 135 IPO price because the institutions have to make sure they're bringing this company public. It has to be a success. But I wonder at at the after the first day, after that initial big pop, does it start to fade like Facebook did back in the day?
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
SpaceX IPO'd at $135 on June 12, 2026, closing at ~$161 (+19%) on day one and peaking at $225.64 on June 15–16 before fading sharply — falling as low as ~$104.83 by early August and requiring a rebound just to close above $135 again on Aug 10. The prediction of an IPO pop above $135 followed by a fade was essentially correct. (https://www.cnbc.com/2026/08/10/spacex-spcx-stock-ipo-price.html)
See quote
[25:01] I still think gold is going lower and my price target still remains by year end early 2027 at 3500 give or take. So again, I still think there's another $600 downside in gold before it becomes a major buyable level.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[29:23] I do think that eventually the economy is going to slow down and that will bring in rates... I do think that shorter term the economy or the stock market coming in could bring yields back in a little bit.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:57] I also have this longer term major support level going back basically to 2023 that I do think palladium will come down to and that's just below 1250.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[11:47] in general, I'm leaning towards 2029 to 2030. And the reason I say that is more so with the hundredyear cycle uh from the Great Depression. And I think things are going to get really bad.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[15:31] I think honestly in the near term, yields probably are going to start to come back in. I don't think the government's going to let things get too far out of control without the Fed trying to intervene.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[32:38] I bet we come down to the low end of this parallel, David, and we're all the way back to 350. That would be a $200ish drop on Micron back to the low end of that parallel. I do think by year end we're back down there.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[11:15] once you get that down you still have the issue of what's going on even prior to those oil price spikes and that's where I think you get this longer term high-end inflation probably between three and 4%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[1:32] And based on longerterm charting, it's still telling me that gold is going to eventually break this 44 to 4,300 level and trade down to 3900, which you can see is a pivot low here. Eventually, I'm still looking at a retest of this major former level here going back to basically every hit from April of 2025 all the way to August of 2025 before we broke out. We should go back and test that level.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would break below $4,300 and trade down to $3,900, then retest $3,500. The period low was $3,962.5, which is above $3,900, so the $3,900 target was not reached (let alone $3,500). The prediction is wrong on its specific price targets.
See quote
[6:13] still that same impact of looking at this major level of 49 to 54 that is where I expect this to come down to and likely it'll coincide with the gold level as well.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would come down to the $49-54 level. The period low was $55.01 on 2026-07-17, which did not reach the claimed $49-54 target range (it fell short by about $1).
See quote
[6:49] I do think that oil number comes down significantly within a week or two. I do think there will be a resolution here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed oil would come down 'significantly' within a week or two; the period low of $86.96 on 2026-04-14 represents a 14.2% decline from the $101.38 prediction date price, which clearly qualifies as a significant drop and meets the bearish prediction within the specified timeframe.
See quote
[7:51] And that means that rate cuts will occur um later this year even though the market is not pricing them in at that this point.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:04] I am bullish now on Bitcoin as we've gotten some signals here. I'm looking for a move up to potentially 80,000 maybe 85,000
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction called for Bitcoin to move up to $80,000-$85,000, and the period high reached $82,792.21 on trading day 36, which falls within the $80,000-$85,000 target range, confirming the prediction was correct.
See quote
[15:24] Logic dictates we probably are coming back to that $5700 target, which would be the low end of the parallel. And I would argue that that's a year-end or early 2027 target
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:39] I would expect gold to trade back to let's say potentially 46 to 4700.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would trade back to $4,600-$4,700, and the period high reached $4,879.7 on trading day 18, which exceeds the $4,700 upper bound of the predicted range, confirming the target was met during the window.
See quote
[6:46] I think we're still on pace for $10,000 gold. It just may be a couple years away.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[11:05] I think there's a swing trade here for upside B on GDX back into the 94 range.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed GDX would bounce back to $94, and the period high reached $102.39 on trading day 18, which exceeds the $94 target, confirming the prediction was correct.
See quote
[20:43] My guess is we'll see somewhere in that $3,500 range, but it will be very short-lived. And so, you know, the idea is is that the wash out of the weak hands... My guess is 3500ish give or take. It won't last very long and we will be back towards 5,000 within 3 to 6 months.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[22:49] the dollar is likely going to weaken further here. And this is just in that bigger ddollarization scenario which will take years to play out, right? But slowly the dollar likely goes lower. And I'm I'm a bear on the dollar.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:43] I would expect a draw down in the next 3 to six months back to $70 a barrel.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed oil would draw down to $70/barrel from $96.32; the period low was $67.04 on 2026-07-02, which is below $70, meaning the $70 target was reached during the prediction window.
See quote
[6:12] And again, I'm looking at a downside move by mid year back to about 6,100 on the S&P. That would be our first major technical support.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The period low of $6,316.91 on 2026-03-30 did not reach the predicted 6,100 level (which would require a decline from $6,837.75 to at or below 6,100), falling short of the target by approximately $216.
See quote
[7:10] my guess is is even though we'll have plenty of bounces eventually we do find our way all the way down to 5600 or so on the S&P
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:30] We could be in a year or two, even if the economy slides into recession. Oil could be $100 per barrel. That would not shock me one bit.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed oil could reach $100 per barrel within one to two years; the period high of $119.48 on 2026-03-09 exceeded the $100 target, so the prediction was correct.
See quote
[10:53] I'm unbelievably bullish on Bitcoin here... you look at a scenario where we could be seeing a big relief rally all the way up to 80 to 85,000.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a rally to 80,000-85,000, but the period high reached only $75,988.4 on 2026-03-17, which falls short of the $80,000 minimum target by approximately $4,011.60 (5.3% below target).
See quote
[12:15] I actually still think Bitcoin is going to eventually go lower... probably sub 50,000 down the line.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[22:30] It broke above this 5100 little resistance here. It has upside to about 5,400... you're probably headed to about 5400 in the next days or week or so.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would reach about $5,400 in the next days or week, and the period high of $5,405 on the target date (2026-03-02) met and exceeded this specific price target, confirming the prediction was correct.
See quote
[7:57] when we do correct, this 4,300 likely becomes your next base point, right? That's where you're going to hold on to the major gains most likely
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[14:02] I still think it's going to 10,000. The question is in what year?
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[25:54] this to me is like likely going to be a continued big rally here to the upside. But great breakout on oil. I'm a big bull on oil
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed oil would 'continue to rally significantly to the upside' following a bullish breakout, and the period high of $119.48 represents an 88.9% gain from the prediction date price of $63.21, far exceeding any reasonable interpretation of 'significant' upside rally.
See quote
[3:25] I'm in the camp that the stock market has topped for at least a 10% 15% correction.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 10-15% correction would occur, but the period low of $6521.92 represents only a 2.2% decline from the prediction date price of $6672.41, falling significantly short of the 10% minimum threshold required for the prediction to be correct.
See quote
[9:06] based on this chart, we should be due for a sizable correction in the semiconductor trade.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 'sizable correction' (bearish), but the period low of $314.07 represents only a 7.4% decline from the prediction date price of $339.24, which is modest rather than sizable, and the price ultimately rose 20.1% by the target date, contradicting the bearish thesis.
See quote
[21:36] But the level you're looking for Bitcoin, and this is where I will add quite a bit of my exposure here, is what we're going to do is we're going to look at, let me see here, right in here. There's a big area of support around 70 to 3 to 75,000 right here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed $70-75k would be major support; the period low was $60,074, which broke below the claimed support level, invalidating the prediction.
See quote
[30:13] 5K next year to me is a no-brainer. 5K next year is a no-brainer.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would reach $5,000 by end of 2026, and the period high reached $5,586.2 on 2026-01-29, which exceeds the $5,000 target, making this prediction correct.
See quote
[29:17] And that tells me that we could come back as low as 36 to 3500 before the next bull move.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold could decline to $2,360-$3,500, but the period low was $4,019.4 (on the prediction date itself), meaning gold never came close to the $3,500 target and instead rose to a high of $5,586.2.
See quote
[0:03] For a major recession. Like, we're going to I think this what I think what's coming is going to be far worse than 089. When this happens, whether it's in a year or two or whenever once the Margo round stops and the music stops, this is going to be far worse, folks. This is going to be the worst thing since the drops in 2000 and probably even going back closing in on 1929.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[29:06] You give if you give me a shot at 3500 on gold, I'm buying it right there. That's a great opportunity.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would pull back to $3,500, but the period low during the 55 trading days was $3,913.7 on 2025-10-30, which fell short of the $3,500 target by $413.7, so the specific price target was never reached.
See quote
[35:01] And I'm looking for the low 3% by early 2026.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would decline to 'low 3%' levels (below 3.0%) by early 2026, but the period low was $3.95 on 2025-10-21, which is still in the high 3% range and never reached the low 3% target claimed.
See quote
[6:26] I would expect inflation to continue to creep higher, not just because of Trump's tariffs. There's other factors here. We talked about the deportations having an impact as well. But also, I would just point out is that one of the biggest drivers about a year ago of inflation was the stock market. And the stock market was at all-time highs. We had the big correction in March into April. We're now back at all-time highs. So, the wealth effect, people are feeling that again. They're feeling well. they look at their 401ks up 25% since April. That's a huge move that makes people want to go out and spend u on goods for instance new TVs etc. And so I think that that can also play a role here. So I think a combination of all those things that I mentioned you will see inflation continue to hold up. Again I don't expect a massive spike unless new high tariffs of 30% go into play. But is it going to stay stubbornly around 3% inflation? I actually do think so.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
December 2025 CPI came in at 2.7% year-over-year, below the ~3% threshold the predictor specified. Inflation stayed below 3% throughout 2025, ranging from a high of 3.0% in September down to 2.7% by November and December, not 'stubbornly around 3%'. (https://www.bls.gov/opub/ted/2026/consumer-price-index-2025-in-review.htm)
See quote
[35:36] Upside target. I'll give you guys my upside target. See this last major low right here, kind of right in this same level. So, I'd be looking for the dollar to get back to about 100 on the DXY. And then once we get in there, that'll be the first test of major resistance. But I think right now we're probably going back to 100 on the DXY.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the dollar would reach 100 on the DXY, and the period high during the target window reached $100.4 on 2025-11-21, which exceeds the $100 target, making this prediction correct.
See quote
[36:17] I'm gonna say 4,000. I do think we'll pull back close to 3,000, but if I have to say by year end, I think gold is closer to 4,000. I think instability, I think, again, eventually the economy will continue to weaken slowly, but it'll weaken. Um, and I think that pushes more people into gold.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would reach $4,000 by year end; the period high was $4,556.3 on 2025-12-26, which exceeds the $4,000 target, and the price on the target date (2025-12-31) closed at $4,325.6, also exceeding $4,000, so the prediction was correct.
See quote
[36:45] 90. I think 90. And I think that's solely on that I love Bitcoin longer term and do think it's going to 150. But I do think also it if we get in a heavy selloff in the markets, which looks like we're close to, then I would be looking for a risk off in Bitcoin near-term and a pull back into the '9s, maybe even that 87 80 88 level we were just talking about on the chart.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed Bitcoin would drop to $90,000 by end of year; the period low of $80,659.81 on 2025-11-21 falls below the $90,000 target, confirming the prediction was met during the prediction window.
See quote
[37:16] 5800. Yeah, definitely based on what I'm seeing in the charts. Um, doesn't mean we can't get close to 7,000, but we'd have to fight through a lot of these big resistance levels at this point. And right now, again, it looks like the markets ignoring some of this good news with Nvidia.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the S&P 500 would drop to 5,800 by end of year, representing a 7.1% decline from the prediction date price of $6,243.76. The period low was $6,201.59 (0.68% decline), which did not reach the target of 5,800 or approach the claimed magnitude of decline, so the prediction is wrong.
See quote
[12:22] I still think that at some point the bottom is going to fall out of this market and we will see a major drop... this market goes down 10, 20, 30%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 10-30% drop would occur, but the period low of $5943.23 on 2025-06-23 represents only a 1.6% decline from the prediction date price of $6038.81, which falls well short of the claimed 10% minimum threshold.
See quote
[26:04] strong bullish bias here with upside easily to four, maybe $5,000 over the next year or two.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Graded early 2026-03-22. GC=F rose from $3,320.90 (2025-06-10) to $4,382.40, up 32%, hitting the $4,000-5,000 target range well ahead of the 2027-06-10 deadline.
See quote
[29:16] This go I could easily see, you know, palladium and platinum north of 1500 in the not too distant future.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed palladium would go 'north of 1500' and the period high reached $1984.7 on 2025-12-26, which exceeds the $1500 target by a significant margin, confirming the prediction was correct.
See quote
[29:16] This go I could easily see, you know, palladium and platinum north of 1500 in the not too distant future.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed platinum would go above $1,500 in the not too distant future, and the period high of $2,467.7 on 2025-12-26 far exceeded this target, representing a 103.8% gain from the prediction date price of $1,209.8.
See quote
[30:37] I would be a buyer of bonds, meaning I think yields are going to go lower... this is resistance, and it's going to reject price and price is going to fall. And in this case, it's the 10-year yield.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would go lower, and the period low of $3.95 on 2025-10-21 represents an 11.6% decline from the prediction date price of $4.47, confirming yields did fall significantly during the prediction window.
See quote
[16:46] I think right now they're pricing in two rate cuts the remainder of the year. I wouldn't be surprised if we have three by year end
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Fed cut rates three times in 2025 — in September, October/November, and December 10, 2025 — ending the year with the federal funds rate at 3.50%-3.75%, exactly matching the prediction of three cuts by year end. (https://www.cnbc.com/2025/12/10/fed-interest-rate-decision-december-2025-.html)
See quote
[9:15] could I make a quick 10% on a, you know, 3 to five trading day hold? I think so on something like Amazon.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 10% gain was possible over 3-5 trading days, and while the stock reached a high of $192.65 (7.95% above the prediction price of $178.41) during the period, this fell short of the claimed 10% magnitude.
See quote
[11:54] If off of this high we came back to this line in theory, where's the NASDAQ going? Probably down here.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[13:55] recession is the most likely answer here later this year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[21:09] eventually, this is my target on the 10-year yield. That's at 3.47, 3.45% on the 10 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would reach 3.45-3.47%, but the period low was 3.89% and the period high was 4.63%, meaning the yield never came close to the target range of 3.45-3.47% during the prediction window.
See quote
[22:02] This here, this 70 to 74,000 range, which was the previous highs. This is the major technical support I expect to be tagged on Bitcoin probably over the next couple weeks, if not sooner.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed Bitcoin would drop to the $70,000-74,000 range, and the period low reached $74,436.68 on April 7th, which falls within the predicted range, confirming the specific price target was met during the timeframe.