Unemployment Rate Predictions
Browse Unemployment Rate market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[9:30] unemployment rate is so low that it probably won't go much lower. So, if we're thinking about 2028 and beyond, you're probably going to have unemployment coming up and you're also going to have this sticky inflation.
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[9:18] Um but at that point you're going to start to see the unemployment rate hook up.
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[39:58] thinking about inflation going, you know, higher than it's ever been before, higher than 20%, and thinking about the unemployment rate going well into double digits
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[6:08] if you ask me, unemployment is going to continue to creep up. They're going to be more businesses going out
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[9:50] we are going to see I think a surge in unemployment like I I I believe now that I'm seeing it now that I'm experiencing now that I'm I'm you know because I think I have a mind for it um I think the world's going to be divided into two kinds of people the architects and the unemployed
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[33:09] So I would expect that we would have at a bare minimum a year from now a six handle on the unemployment rate.
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[8:00] Unemployment is going to spike and inflation is going to spike even more.
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[6:10] So you have AI kicking in right now. Unemployment is going to go through the roof as we all know.
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[8:59] It looks like the unemployment rate will probably tick up a little bit, but it's all it's at very low levels.
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[20:30] I think we're going to see a lot of weakness in the job market because AI is taking jobs and I don't think CEOs want to fess up to that.
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[8:06] we will start to see the unemployment rate tick up.
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[11:06] And interestingly also there's a 67month cycle in the unemployment rate and we're also into a rising unemployment trend according to that cycle uh as well that still has some room to run.
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[12:11] So again, you know, we're we're at a 4.2% uh unemployment rate. That's about the cycle high. I would expect that that's going to continue rising.
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The unemployment rate rose from 4.2% in May 2025 to a high of ~4.5-4.6% by November 2025, before edging down slightly to 4.4% in December 2025 — confirming the prediction that it would continue rising over the course of 2025. (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate)
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[8:56] we do expect to be 4.2%. Anowong expect to be 5% next year. The bottom line is you look at that chart looks like a bull flag. It looks like it's heading to 6%. Historically it's always gone to 6% after bonding is low as it was last year around 3.2 or so.
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