Lance Roberts Predictions
Portfolio Manager
Track Lance Roberts's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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[30:28] we're getting towards the end of that secular bull market period. Valuations are elevated. We've got a lot of exuberance in the markets. um you know there's a whole variety of demographic issues that are going on with the economy that are going to lead up to having this period of low returns for a decade or two
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[32:25] if you just look at the historical length of secular bull markets, we're close to the end of this cycle. Next three, four years probably.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[26:28] I think we can actually start to see the peak of the mountain on these passive capital flows. is like I don't know exactly when it's going to happen but I think it could be within a couple years like singledigit years we get to the point where those um those passive flows start to diminish you know first in in their rate of increase but then they actually start to to decrease
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[31:47] you just got a parabolic move in semiconductors, and that will end badly at some point. Now, you know, a reversion to the mean, it may be 30 or 40%. And for those people that are buying it now, you're going to lose a lot of money.
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[0:00] I still believe uh because momentum is very overbought here because relative strength is very overbought here that we could see a bit of a pullback you know back toward this deviation to the 20-day moving average is very large the deviation to the 100 and the 50-day is is very very large. This is a very big gap over the 50-day moving average. So you're eventually going to get a correction back to this level.
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[6:08] Semiconductors are are just going crazy right now. Um they're very overbought, very extended. you know, if there's, and this is kind of some of the workaround we did this week... when you get these parabolic moves, you're going to get a correction at some point, which will give you a better buying opportunity
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[11:55] I fully expect this summer we're going to have another 5 to 10% correction uh heading into midterm elections and then you'll have an end of the end of the year run.
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[15:10] Germany which was already struggling just barely above recession levels anyway. This is almost assuredly going to push Germany into a recession.
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[6:09] what markets are expecting, this will be a fairly short-lived event and then we're going to get back to business of growing the economy.
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[30:25] So, you can see this market rally back above the 200 day moving average next week. Uh get back to 6720, 6750 in there, that wouldn't be surprising at all.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a rally back above the 200-day moving average to 6720-6750, but the period high during the target week was only $6651.62 on 2026-03-23, which falls short of the claimed 6720-6750 price target range by at least $68.38.
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[25:48] we're going to get a rally maybe starting in the next week or so that goes through April and then we're going to get into summer, which is premidterm elections. I'd expect a lot more chop and volatility during the summer, get through till we get through the midterm elections and then a rally into year end.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.