10-Year Treasury Yield Predictions
Browse 10-Year Treasury Yield market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[12:12] I think you're going to see the 10-year notes reach 6% before the year is over.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[26:23] I don't see the 10-year Treasury coming down, not meaningfully, and some of that is the negatives of inflation and debt deficit financing it, but some of it is also just good economic growth.
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[32:39] I think you'll see we'll we'll be back at 4% pretty quick on the quickly on the 10-year. And I'm I'm saying we could be at 3% or below by the end of the year.
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[39:52] I expect the the 10 year to drop to zero the 30-year to drop to a quarter to a half percent.
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[14:53] 5% on the 10-year the 10year gets above 5% and the market hasn't at least corrected hard then don't don't ever listen to Peter Granwich again
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[0:18] Right now is a really vulnerable time for the bond market where we could see interest rates on the long end break out to new highs.
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[30:29] The 10-year Treasury yield 4.3%. Uh, what's more likely? 4% or 5%. 3.9.
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[4:42] Watch the 10-year Treasury. We believe the 10-year Treasury is going to be is settling in in this 350 to 450 range and that's been our call now for a couple years. We think that's going to continue for the next 2 to 3 years.
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[6:56] it wouldn't surprise me if you see yields north of 5% um or more.
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[16:05] I think we're going to head towards that 10 note yield in China which is 1.85%. Currently in US is about 4.15%.
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[20:19] Yeah, but you could break 5% for a moment in time. Sure. Could be a panic.
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The prediction claimed US treasury yields could break 5%, but the period high was only 4.687% on 2026-05-19, which never reached the 5% threshold.
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[15:11] I think on that basis and they've they've anticipated 30 to 70 basis points reduction in the 10-year yield once that's implemented that should be implemented sometime late this summer. uh that would bring the 10-year yield down to 350, 370
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The prediction claimed the 10-year yield would decline to 3.50%-3.70% (a 59-70 basis point drop from 4.29%), and the period low of 3.99% on 2025-09-17 represents a 30 basis point decline, falling short of the claimed 3.50%-3.70% target range.
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[5:36] The 10 year and 30-year, I think they'll punch through 5%. That's my expectation, but not maybe by the end of the summer.
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The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would 'punch through 5%', but the period high was only $4.49 (4.49%) on 2025-07-17, which fell short of the 5% target by 51 basis points, so the specific claim was not met.
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[30:37] I would be a buyer of bonds, meaning I think yields are going to go lower... this is resistance, and it's going to reject price and price is going to fall. And in this case, it's the 10-year yield.
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The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would go lower, and the period low of $3.95 on 2025-10-21 represents an 11.6% decline from the prediction date price of $4.47, confirming yields did fall significantly during the prediction window.
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[32:15] So I think 3.75% is a gimme. I think we're going to blow below that in the next 12 months. I wouldn't be surprised if we get into call it a a three to three and a half% range between now and this point next year.
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The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would fall to the 3-3.5% range within 12 months, but the period low was only 3.947% (on 2025-10-21), which did not reach the claimed 3-3.5% range.
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[21:09] eventually, this is my target on the 10-year yield. That's at 3.47, 3.45% on the 10 years.
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The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would reach 3.45-3.47%, but the period low was 3.89% and the period high was 4.63%, meaning the yield never came close to the target range of 3.45-3.47% during the prediction window.
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[22:26] I think you'll have one more turn in here where the where that 10year will go below four or somewhere in there
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