10-Year Treasury Yield Predictions
Browse 10-Year Treasury Yield market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
See quote
[23:11] I I I I mean I still think we inevitably retest 5%. Which is where we we got to in the in 2023.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[16:06] We think normal GDP growth is likely set for a clip of between 6-7% going forward. Maybe a tad higher than that, but you know, the economy is on a roll at the moment and inflation clearly is a nagging problem. But that is going to mean that you're looking at something like a target of about 6% on the long on the long bond or the 10-year on the 10-year bond.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:27] I think that'll help with the tenure. I think the 10year's peaked.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[6:03] bonds are getting ready for another breakdown, meaning another move up in rates, I think that's coming. And so maybe we get the 10ear to break away from 4 and a.5% and then move up towards 5%
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:19] I think that we're probably going to see the 10-year yield, which is around a little under 450 right now, around 442 or so. It's probably going to trend towards 5%, I think, by the end of the year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[31:12] I think the 10year notes are going to 6% before the year. Okay. So, again, I think interest rates are going a lot higher.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[37:29] The 10-year yield should go to could go to 6% over the next 6 to 12 months.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[26:23] I don't see the 10-year Treasury coming down, not meaningfully, and some of that is the negatives of inflation and debt deficit financing it, but some of it is also just good economic growth.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[32:39] I think you'll see we'll we'll be back at 4% pretty quick on the quickly on the 10-year. And I'm I'm saying we could be at 3% or below by the end of the year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[39:52] I expect the the 10 year to drop to zero the 30-year to drop to a quarter to a half percent.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[14:53] 5% on the 10-year the 10year gets above 5% and the market hasn't at least corrected hard then don't don't ever listen to Peter Granwich again
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[30:29] The 10-year Treasury yield 4.3%. Uh, what's more likely? 4% or 5%. 3.9.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:42] Watch the 10-year Treasury. We believe the 10-year Treasury is going to be is settling in in this 350 to 450 range and that's been our call now for a couple years. We think that's going to continue for the next 2 to 3 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[6:56] it wouldn't surprise me if you see yields north of 5% um or more.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[16:05] I think we're going to head towards that 10 note yield in China which is 1.85%. Currently in US is about 4.15%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[20:19] Yeah, but you could break 5% for a moment in time. Sure. Could be a panic.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed US treasury yields could break 5%, but the period high was only 4.687% on 2026-05-19, which never reached the 5% threshold.
See quote
[15:11] I think on that basis and they've they've anticipated 30 to 70 basis points reduction in the 10-year yield once that's implemented that should be implemented sometime late this summer. uh that would bring the 10-year yield down to 350, 370
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year yield would decline to 3.50%-3.70% (a 59-70 basis point drop from 4.29%), and the period low of 3.99% on 2025-09-17 represents a 30 basis point decline, falling short of the claimed 3.50%-3.70% target range.
See quote
[5:36] The 10 year and 30-year, I think they'll punch through 5%. That's my expectation, but not maybe by the end of the summer.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would 'punch through 5%', but the period high was only $4.49 (4.49%) on 2025-07-17, which fell short of the 5% target by 51 basis points, so the specific claim was not met.
See quote
[30:37] I would be a buyer of bonds, meaning I think yields are going to go lower... this is resistance, and it's going to reject price and price is going to fall. And in this case, it's the 10-year yield.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed 10-year Treasury yields would go lower, and the period low of $3.95 on 2025-10-21 represents an 11.6% decline from the prediction date price of $4.47, confirming yields did fall significantly during the prediction window.
See quote
[32:15] So I think 3.75% is a gimme. I think we're going to blow below that in the next 12 months. I wouldn't be surprised if we get into call it a a three to three and a half% range between now and this point next year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would fall to the 3-3.5% range within 12 months, but the period low was only 3.947% (on 2025-10-21), which did not reach the claimed 3-3.5% range.
See quote
[21:09] eventually, this is my target on the 10-year yield. That's at 3.47, 3.45% on the 10 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed the 10-year Treasury yield would reach 3.45-3.47%, but the period low was 3.89% and the period high was 4.63%, meaning the yield never came close to the target range of 3.45-3.47% during the prediction window.
See quote
[22:26] I think you'll have one more turn in here where the where that 10year will go below four or somewhere in there
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.