Michael Oliver Predictions

[6:05] Our assessment is it's not going to hold this time that we're actually going to slip through and have a a bond market panic, but this time government bonds, biggest market in the world

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[17:39] it wouldn't surprise me that you peaked the stock market this month and that by the end of the quarter, you're somewhere well back in the halfway point of this quarter's range.

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[17:51] when you open next quarter, one or two of our major long-term metrics, particularly quarterly momentum, will be sitting on a floor that you cannot see on a price chart, but on a momentum chart, if you saw that chart, you'd say, 'Good grief, you better not break that floor.' Because if you do, you're going to implode. And that could be an event that happens later this summer.

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[11:00] gold will already be out of this congestion zone and silver will be well out of this congestion zone into the next massive multiple which we think is coming and largely might be seen fully or largely by the end of this summer. It's a very rapid event.

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[41:06] at that point you get into late summer and we've been several quarters after the spread broke out, silver versus gold. And I suspect that's about when you'll be seeing the kind of numbers I'm talking about.

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[19:01] starting probably with an emergence this month into next in terms of coming out of congestion and then of several months of sheer launch.

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[14:38] oil prices, grain prices, sugar prices, cotton prices, they're all in technical positions to advance in a major way over the next couple years because they're vastly undervalued.

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[25:20] we turned bullish on oil at $65 in January based on momentum... oil is in a bull trend and it occurred before that war started. So when oil drops back down, let's say into the 80s and everybody applauds and says, 'Oh boy, happy time again.'

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[2:27] We think the S&P the stock market in the US has been in a topping process uh for a year since early last year.

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[5:42] The new highs we just saw, I think, are transient. I think it we we we thought it would occur and we thought that probably it would extend into this month and i suspect you may even make higher highs this month than you did last.

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[13:03] multi-year bare trend? Sorry, multi-year bare trend. Yeah. But the question is what does it what is goes with it? What other assets go with it? Where will it how much down will it go? I don't know that I can say that most of the bare markets in US history of the last 100 years last two and a half to three years the dimension of the decline varies. Usually they're at least 50%.

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[37:48] I think what's on the other side of this congestion zone will take silver to $300 to $500.

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[36:29] We think getting back over 80 again in silver is a table pounder.

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[36:38] gold get up you get you get above 4,800 again and I'd say you know wipe your brow if you've been panicked

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[28:29] Now since since that chart we've dropped down to 112 area. you get down around 111 in price, which is that upper chart there. You can see it's probed down to 10750 back in 2023, but then there were two lows down just in the 111 since then that almost got to 110. You go back down to the 111 again, you're not going to hold. Okay? And I think you could get a mini panic.

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[0:00] Our assessment of this move in silver in particular is that it's going to a new reality. I think silver's going into several hundred dollar, may even go as high as 500. And I think it will do it by summer this year.

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[32:52] Last three months we've been arguing it's got to continue up though. Get above 7,000 which it did today but probably even more probably at least get into February before it decides to roll over again. But we think it's a broad topping process of major proportions. is going into a massive bare market

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