Russia-Ukraine War Predictions
Browse Russia-Ukraine War market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[16:39] between now and the Russian election, which is coming up next month, okay, you're probably going to see the Russians taking another big swath of Ukraine. And then between the election and November, which will be the deadline for fighting conditions still basically allow them to go on. I think they're going to probably make a run for corators in Slovenians.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[24:02] We expect the US Iran deal. So more than a ceasefire, I guess, and a ceasefire in Russia and Ukraine. Uh we think that's way more likely than your prediction markets predict.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[41:54] I don't think that they're going to get resolved... in the case of the Ukraine Russia war, you have Russia saying that they're winning. You have Ukraine saying that they're winning. No, none of them is winning. It's a very very sad situation.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[20:13] the war in Ukraine will be settled, um, militarily and 6 to9 months things are going to look, um, very different than they do today.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
As of March 2026, the war in Ukraine is very much ongoing with active daily combat engagements, airstrikes, and drone attacks on both sides. Russia still occupies ~20% of Ukrainian territory, and while ceasefire negotiations are being attempted, no military settlement has been reached. (https://www.russiamatters.org/news/russia-ukraine-war-report-card/russia-ukraine-war-report-card-march-18-2026)
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[18:44] my prediction for the war in Ukraine, okay, is like the war will shift to Odessa at some point. So the next big battle in the war in Ukraine is Odessa. And also what's really important is Odessa will be the last stand of NATO in Ukraine. NATO will commit its full might to defending Odessa.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
As of July 2026, no major battle for Odessa has occurred and NATO has not committed forces to defend it. The frontlines remain focused on Donetsk, Dnipropetrovsk, and Zaporizhzhia regions, with the war characterized as a strategic stalemate; Odessa has not become 'the next big battle' nor a 'NATO last stand.' (https://www.lvivherald.com/post/the-ukrainian-front-line-in-june-2026)