Michael Howell Predictions

Managing Director of GL Indexes

Track Michael Howell's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

8 forecasts 8 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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8 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Michael Howell Financial Markets Financial markets will enter a turbulent phase with liquidity draining and markets moving lower following the current speculation phase
See quote
[2:09] what comes next is probably a more ugly phase. So you're likely to see a sort of turbulent phase where liquidity gets drained more quickly and the direction of markets is more likely down.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-06-02 2027-06-02 pending
Michael Howell Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will raise interest rates within the next 12 months because the economy is too strong at 7-8% nominal GDP growth
See quote
[40:50] Contrarian call - Fed must raise rates in 12 months

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-06-02 2027-06-02 pending
Michael Howell Energy Sector Energy stocks and gold miners will outperform as attractive late-cycle investments in the current environment
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[38:09] energy stocks to my mind look pretty attractive right now. Uh resource stocks, gold miners probably a decent area to be in.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-06-02 2026-12-31 pending
Michael Howell Yield Curve Yield curves will begin to flatten from about mid 2026
See quote
[26:19] as recently as probably mid to late January, the consensus trade right across markets was that ye uh yield curves were going to steepen throughout 2026. Our view has been that they would begin to flatten from about mid year and okay, they're poised now. We could be wrong, but it looks as if you're getting that turn and that turn is all about the liquidity cycle.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-04-17 2026-08-01 pending
Michael Howell Interest Rates Eurozone interest rates will increase
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[3:57] Euro zone the in the uh the basic prediction is that rates will be uh or on an incline now. uh there's more likely to be tightening in the Euro zone.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-15 2026-12-15 pending
Michael Howell US Economy 2026 will be a good year for the US economy
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[20:13] So what that's telling us is that 2026 should be a good year for the economy.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-15 2026-12-31 pending
Michael Howell Inflation Rate US inflation will reach 4%
See quote
[22:54] we're talking at 4% inflation

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-15 2026-12-15 pending
Michael Howell S&P 500 The S&P 500 will be range-bound in 2026
See quote
[36:56] my view, which I've been saying for some months now, is that 2026 is likely at best to be a rangebound market for the S&P

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-15 2026-12-31 pending