David Hunter Predictions

[2:27] I believe we are making a major bottom in in the bond market here. major top in rates. Uh I focus on 10 year. Third year's gone obviously broken out and gone above uh levels and and people are projecting higher. I'm not so worried about the 30-year. What really matters what what loans get priced off of, mortgages get priced off of is the 10-year. We keep bumping up against the kind of 530 535 536 level.

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[4:43] I think there's a pretty good chance we're heading um back down and could actually be in the 60s. um before the end of this year and lower from there.

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[10:51] I think inflation has peaked. Again, oil will be a part of that story if I'm wrong and oil spikes the other way. Uh inflation can eat up some more. But really, the you know, we've seen in the recent inflation prints that there is some beginnings of rolling over in inflation... I would argue that inflation is basically going to surprise people on the downside going forward.

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[12:34] My my current S&P target is 10,000. So, I'm not sure where we were last time we spoke, but I'm at 10,000 on the S&P. Um 36,000 on NASDAQ, 70,000 on the Dow, and 4,000 on the Russell. So, if you do the numbers on those, you know, they're basically between 30 and probably the Russell's over 40% now from here. Um, so those are big still big moves up. I think they'll be in a steep rally. So they can happen in the matter of just a few months or it might, you know, might take longer than that. I'm not trying to predict a specific end, but I think we're within 3 to 6 months of a top in the stock market.

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[18:08] So, if I'm right on 10,000 on the S&P, I wouldn't be surprised to see that down as much as 80%. Uh, which would take you to 2,000 uh in a bare market that follows this. So, I don't have any precise timing that says, okay, it starts right after the beginning of the year or anything like that. You got to top out first. But from wherever that top is, I believe we're looking at the biggest bare market we've had post 20 post 1929.

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[5:04] I actually think the economy is very mixed... I don't think we're going to see prints in GDP that are going to be concerning. I think if anything, they're going to come in light. Um, and I think we are ultimately in 2027 moving towards a recession and maybe worse than that. I I'm calling for a global bust.

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[36:56] you've got a runup before the global bust, you know, the next three to six months that could take gold to 7. My target is 7,000. Um my target on silver is 200. So you've got that in the near term that I think we're bottoming and we'll run up.

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[37:02] My target is 7,000. Um my target on silver is 200. So you've got that in the near term that I think we're bottoming and we'll run up.

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[37:34] Then if a global bust if this thing is kind of plays out in this time frame it may get stretched but um if the global bust follows that um I think you'll see very sharp corrections in both gold and silver. Uh gold obviously doesn't isn't as volatile as silver. um you know you might get a 50% backup in gold and more like a 75% backup in silver

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[37:53] um you know you might get a 50% backup in gold and more like a 75% backup in silver or it might be less but but something you know 40 to 50 on gold and probably 60 to 75% on silver. Um so if silver goes to 200 you may indeed get your $50 from up there not from here.

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[39:42] I think you're you're looking at gold going to maybe 20,000 um in the early 2030s. So, if you if you go back to say 3500 or 4,000 um from there, you could go uh in the next cycle to 20,000.

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[39:59] Silver, let's say it backs up to $50, can go to $1,000 next cycle. So, you know, I'd say that's probably 20, 32 or three when you get there.

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[41:13] As much as I think oil can go down into the 30s during the global bust. So, you know, get down into the 60s here and then when bust hits, maybe be down into the 30s. From there, I think oil can go, which would be, you know, 2028 and beyond. I think oil can go to $500 a barrel. So, you'll go from, you know, $30 or $40 a barrel to $500 a barrel probably between 2028 and 2034.

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[28:25] next year by the end of next year you could be looking at deflation. That could be our concern.

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[29:02] that's where you create the hyperinflationary environment that shuts down the printing press... and I argue that next time around this time we have deflation next time around because of the response to that deflationary bust we're going to have hyperinflation by the time we get to the early 2030s so that such that you could have 25% inflation in this country maybe worse elsewhere

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[2:54] I'm talking about obviously you know 30% or more in some of the indexes from here to say that that can happen by Labor Day may sound crazy but that's what a parabolic is is u you know things move pretty fast pretty far.

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[0:45] my guest today says the consensus is wrong. He argues we're entering the final parabolic meltup of a 44year bull market, a surge that could drive gold to $6,800 and silver to $180 before triggering an 80% global bust.

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[10:57] that's how I get to 180 right and I'm not so sure that I'm not too conservative still

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[12:24] silver is very volatile so that could go down you know 50 60 70% gold probably less so maybe 30 or 40% but it could go 50 and this goes 75

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[12:30] gold probably less so maybe 30 or 40% but it could go 50

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[14:23] let's say we get 7,000, you get a 50% correction, takes you back down to, you know, 3500. From there, um, you could see 20,000 in gold by the early 2030s.

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[11:19] I have a long-term forecast of $1,000, but that's out early 2030s.

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[28:41] I think we will see oil back down into the 70s based on oil flowing through the straight.

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[32:39] I think you'll see we'll we'll be back at 4% pretty quick on the quickly on the 10-year. And I'm I'm saying we could be at 3% or below by the end of the year.

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[39:52] I expect the the 10 year to drop to zero the 30-year to drop to a quarter to a half percent.

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[39:52] I expect the the 10 year to drop to zero the 30-year to drop to a quarter to a half percent.

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[30:57] I think we move into recession late this year, early next and into a bust uh for much of next year probably.

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[0:52] a surge that could drive gold to $6,800 and silver to $180 before triggering an 80% global bust.

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[41:11] I have said many times in the last several years that I expect the Fed balance sheet to grow by at least 20 trillion.

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