Peter Schiff Predictions
Founder and Chief Strategist of Europacific Asset Management
Track Peter Schiff's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
- Submit corrections
See quote
[2:10] I think yields are going a lot higher on the longer end in particular. And eventually the stock market is going to notice that and you're going to start to see some weakness there.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[2:22] And then I think gold is going to break out of this consolidation because investors have been focusing on the nominal increase in yields as if somehow that is a negative for gold. It's not.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[3:57] we're going to be looking at a sovereign debt crisis and a US dollar crisis I think before the end of the Trump term.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:02] I think we're going to hit 50 trillion before Trump finishes his term. and and that's going to be because the Fed is going to be back in QE mode, uh, monetizing a lot of this debt that the rest of the world no longer wants to finance.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[6:59] I think the Trump second term in its entirety is going to uh deliver a bigger increase in the cost of living than the Biden term. So it's going to be a bigger problem inflation in Trump's second term than it was under Biden. uh especially in the last two years. I think that's where it's going to be the worst. Under Biden, inflation was the worst during his first two years, but I think in Trump, it's going to be the back end of his term, the last two years where inflation is going to be uh the worst probably into the double digits.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:58] I think oil's going a lot higher and so are bond yields. Even if the war ends, uh, which, you know, who knows if that's actually going to happen anytime soon, but even if it does, uh, I think that these trends are going to remain in place.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[17:44] that $125 peak that's not the peak for silver. That's just the first stop on a long road that I think is going to see much much higher prices for silver.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[17:39] this is going to resolve itself with another big up move. Uh and you know so that $125 peak that's not the peak for silver.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[20:58] I do think we're we're going to get a big decline in the stock market at some point. you know, we're at nosebleed valuations uh in a in a big AI uh tech bubble uh that's at some point going to burst.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[29:20] I think you're going to see a lot of these, uh, buyouts, which is why, you know, my our fund is about a third in these juniors. And you know that's been a drag on performance in the last couple of years. But I think ultimately that's going to be what causes us to have substantial outperformance because I think all these stocks are going to get bought out for big premiums.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[31:56] They may have to double or triple from here before before that happens.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[9:08] a lot of the crypto investors uh basically throw in the towel on that and realize they kind of got suckered into a into a pyramid Ponzi type scheme and that Bitcoin isn't actually digital gold and so you're going to see a rush uh to get into the real thing.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[0:00] So inflation is going to continue to accelerate. Inflation is going to go into the double digits and who knows it may even go into the triple digits.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[1:49] I think we might actually hit 50 trillion before Trump finishes his term. So that'd be about 11 trillion more in debt over the next 3 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[2:03] I think we could be on the cusps of, an official recession
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[8:00] Unemployment is going to spike and inflation is going to spike even more.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:35] I think it's going to be a US dollar crisis, a sovereign debt crisis.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[14:52] I think the Dow could go down to less than two ounces of gold in, you know, in le in the next 5 to 10 years
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[36:58] I don't think gold's going to stay under 5,000 for long.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[9:23] And then when Trump loses in 2028 and we get a Democrat in 2029
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:50] So a year from now, gold is going to be more expensive than it is right now. The same thing for silver.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[5:27] Gold and silver breaking out is a similar warning that the sovereign debt and dollar crisis are going to hit and they might hit even this year, but I would say either this year or or next year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:19] I'm very bullish on energy right now and agricultural commodities. I think they're going to move. I think gold and silver are just leading the way.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed energy prices would move 'significantly higher' following gold and silver, and XLE reached a period high of $60.32 (19.4% gain from $50.51) by March 20, 2026, well before the target date, demonstrating a significant upward move that validates the bullish claim.
See quote
[23:19] I'm very bullish on energy right now and agricultural commodities. I think they're going to move. I think gold and silver are just leading the way.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:26] But it's, you know, it's it's not just precious metals. It's industrial metals, right? It it's this is going to be a commodity boom.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[23:36] I think the emerging markets are going to be the big winners. The brick countries are going to be a lot more uh prosperous when they no longer, you know, have the burden of supporting the US.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[27:36] I think people are going to start throwing in the towel on Bitcoin this year. I think you're going to see an onslaught of selling coming out of the ETFs.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[0:00] 4,000 is really the new 3,000 for gold. So 4,000 is kind of the support. This is not, you know, the end of this. It's gold's going a lot higher.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would go 'significantly higher than $4,000' with $4,000 as support; the period high of $4,556.3 represents a 10.6% gain from the prediction date price of $4,118.4, demonstrating a significant move higher, and the period low of $3,913.7 stayed above $4,000, confirming it as support.
See quote
[0:07] Gold soaring like this is telling you that the dollar is going to go down, that bonds are going to go down.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed bonds would 'decline significantly' with a bearish sentiment. TLT declined 3.7% by the target date close and reached a period low of $86.21 (a 4.1% decline from the $89.82 prediction date price on 2025-12-16), which represents a significant decline during the prediction window.