Mike McGlone Predictions

Senior Commodity Strategist at Bloomberg Intelligence

Track Mike McGlone's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

35 forecasts 20% accuracy 1 correct 4 wrong 30 pending

Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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35 forecasts

Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome

Mike McGlone Gold Gold will be stuck in a trading range (roughly $3,500-$4,000) for years rather than making new highs

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[1:49] I think ultimately the bottom doesn't really come in the 3500. I think it's stuck in a range for years if history is a guide.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2029-06-11 pending

Mike McGlone S&P 500 The S&P 500 will end 2026 down on the year (a big red candle)

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[9:18] I think by the end of the year it's going to just be a big red candle in stock market following what's guiding us in cryptos following the lessons of volatility and massive speculation with all this, you know, all these IPOs and things.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Inflation Rate CPI will fall back toward zero or negative by approximately June 2027, with 4.2% marking the peak

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[15:38] That 4.2% will probably be a peak. David I remember well it was almost it was July of 2008 inflation's CPI peaked at 5.6%... The key thing I like to point out is since that bottom in crude oil and so in CPI in 2009 at minus 2% we've bottomed around that level or zero three times. I think we're going to do it again by this time next year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2027-06-11 pending

Mike McGlone Oil WTI crude oil will fall from ~$80 to closer to $50 by the midterm elections (November 2026)

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[19:53] I fully expect that December crude oil contract which is the top and open interest will be front month um around midterms is around $80 a barrel right now to be closer to 50.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2026-11-03 pending

Mike McGlone Bitcoin Bitcoin will fall to $10,000

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[24:38] I think the next key supports around 50,000. I doubt it stays above 80. I think it's going to 10. That's Bitcoin.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2027-06-11 pending

Mike McGlone Tether Tether will flip Ethereum to become the #2 cryptocurrency by market cap in 2026, and eventually flip Bitcoin to become #1

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[25:24] It flip-ins Ethereum and to me it's a matter I think it'll be this year. I think it's a matter of time that trend continues and it flippins Bitcoin to become the number one crypto

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Copper Copper will fall toward $4 per pound as part of a normal reversion

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[31:39] copper probably easily towards $4 a pound if this normal happens. This is the normal reversion.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2027-06-11 pending

Mike McGlone Silver Silver will fall below $50 as part of a normal reversion

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[31:43] Silver below 50 normal reversion. I mean, it was just still well above where it was a year or two ago.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2027-06-11 pending

Mike McGlone Treasury Market US long-dated Treasuries (long bond at 5%) will outperform and generate alpha by end of 2026

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[23:28] Best I think the final my focus remains. US Treasuries might grab alpha this year. haven't been right yet, but that 5% long bond I think is going to just we're going to look back and say yeah was your last chance.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Treasury Yields Bond yields will be lower by end of 2026

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[22:15] my prediction is by the end of the year, everything will be down following Bitcoin, following precious metals, bond yields lower

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-11 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Gold Gold has peaked and will experience years of bad performance (sideways to down), similar to crude oil's range-bound pattern since 2008

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[25:24] do you think gold, it sounds like you think gold has peaked? Yeah. And if it does, are we in in more of a fluid situation where we'll see it move up and down or is this sort of peaked and we're going to face another one of these decades long period where we're sideways? Exactly. You you nailed it. The ladder is exactly way to do it. So, typically the way it works in gold and silver, we should expect years of bad performance after a period like this of way of outperformance.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-19 2035-05-19 pending

Mike McGlone S&P 500 Stock market volatility will pick up significantly in 2025

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[17:00] one of my my key theme at the beginning of the year is stock market volatility is just too low compared to the volatility spiking we're seeing in crude oil and gold. We've never had gold like I mentioned earlier volatility run at two times that of the S&P 500 for long. Usually stock market volatility picks up.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-19 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Bitcoin Bitcoin has already dropped nearly 50% from its peak, and metals will follow a similar pattern of decline

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[27:57] metals look very much like cryptos last year. Now if you mentioned something the crypto bearish the crypto people last year they looked at me like three heads and since you know Bitcoin's dropped what almost 50% from the peak um not just one now that's just how things work

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-05-19 2027-05-19 pending

Mike McGlone Copper Copper above $6 is a prudent short opportunity

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[11:16] So copper is on my above six you showed right there is on my potentially prudent short list because it is stuck.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-24 2027-04-24 pending

Mike McGlone Gold Gold will trade between $3,000 and $6,000 for a decade

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[25:54] I think gold is likely to trade between 3,000 and 6,000 for a decade.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-24 2036-04-24 pending

Mike McGlone 10-Year Treasury Yield The 10-year Treasury yield will go to 3.9%

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[30:29] The 10-year Treasury yield 4.3%. Uh, what's more likely? 4% or 5%. 3.9.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-24 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Inflation Rate Inflation will be at 2% by the end of the year

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[30:46] Inflation at 3.5 by the end of the year or three? Uh, two.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-04-24 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Oil WTI crude oil will reach $40 per barrel by end of 2026

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[0:11] I think this is the year I finally get to my $40 barrel call in crude oil.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-20 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Gold Gold will initially drop to $4,000

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[0:15] I'm not a fan of gold. I think initially goes to 4,000. That I haven't said that in decades. I fully expect silver to go back to near 50 and gold initially to buy to drop down to 4,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-20 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Silver Silver will go back to near $50

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[0:18] I fully expect silver to go back to near 50 and gold initially to buy to drop down to 4,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-20 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone S&P 500 The S&P 500 will experience a third 50% drawdown since 2000

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[0:06] Like this is the beginning of the third 50% draw down in the S&P 500 since 2000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-20 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Inflation Rate Inflation will be close to zero by end of 2026 or 2027

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[17:19] I fully expect this number to be close to to zero by this year, if not next year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-03-20 2027-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Bitcoin Bitcoin will drop to 50,000 first, then to 10,000

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[0:01] I think Bitcoin the first stop is around 50,000. It would drop a zero. The first stop was around 50,000. I think it's going to 10,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-16 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Treasury Yields Bond yields will go lower next year

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[1:26] I think it's about time we're going to get a pretty significant reversion next year in stock market bond yields to go lower

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-16 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone S&P 500 The S&P 500 will have a down year in 2026, potentially reverting towards 5,000

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[15:28] I think next year is going to be a down year for the total return. I don't know how much maybe reverting towards 5,000 S&P 500.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-16 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone 10-Year Treasury Yield US 10-year Treasury yield will head towards 1.85% (similar to China's level)

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[16:05] I think we're going to head towards that 10 note yield in China which is 1.85%. Currently in US is about 4.15%.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-12-16 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Gold Gold can easily drop back a third to around $3,500

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[4:41] it can either drop easily back a third which would be around 3500 and to go from here to 5,000 anytime soon is um would be you know I'm already pointing out how historically stretched it is now would just be um unprecedented.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-10-28 2026-10-28 pending

Mike McGlone Bitcoin Bitcoin is at risk of dropping 90%

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[0:19] I think Bitcoin's at risk of losing a zero, dropping 90%, the whole rest of the space dropping 95, mostly maybe 99%.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-10-28 2026-10-28 pending

Mike McGlone Gold Gold will reach $4,000 per ounce

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[10:16] So I think that ratio is going back to 100 because I see gold heading to 4,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-02 2025-12-31

Mike McGlone Oil Crude oil will drop to $40 per barrel

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[10:32] And I think crude oil is going back to 40.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-02 2025-12-31

Mike McGlone S&P 500 The S&P 500 will have a 50% drawdown, marking the third such decline since 2000

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[21:09] well here's my base case I started out the year I think this is going to be a down year for the stock market in the beginning of the third 50% draw down in the S&P 500 since the start of um since 2000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-09-02 2025-12-31 wrong

Mike McGlone S&P 500 S&P 500 will be down 20% or more by end of 2025

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[13:50] I think we're in a bare market in US stock market. It's early days. I think it'd be we'd be delightful if we end this this year not down 20% or more.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-04-29 2025-12-31

Mike McGlone Unemployment Rate Unemployment will reach 6% after bottoming at low levels

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[8:56] we do expect to be 4.2%. Anowong expect to be 5% next year. The bottom line is you look at that chart looks like a bull flag. It looks like it's heading to 6%. Historically it's always gone to 6% after bonding is low as it was last year around 3.2 or so.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-04-29 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Oil Crude oil will reach $40 a barrel

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[11:27] looked like crude oil to me was going to head to $40 a barrel. Now we have a good reason to do that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-04-29 2026-12-31 pending

Mike McGlone Bitcoin Bitcoin faces major risk of going back down to $10,000

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[31:21] So g back down to 10,000 is still I think the major risk potential for Bitcoin if it can stay above these levels for just a couple more weeks. I might have to kill that view.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-04-29 2025-12-31 wrong