Henrik Zeberg Predictions

Head Macro Economist at SwissBlock

Track Henrik Zeberg's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

31 forecasts 50% accuracy 4 correct 4 wrong 23 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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31 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Henrik Zeberg Treasury Market US Treasuries/bonds are too cheap and will reprice higher (yields lower) as the economic slowdown becomes apparent
See quote
[10:51] From the from the good end I would say that you know, bonds you know, treasuries and so on looks very mispriced, but that's because they're too cheap at this point here.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-16 2027-09-16 pending
Henrik Zeberg NASDAQ The Nasdaq will surge to 37,000–39,000 in a final melt-up before reversing
See quote
[30:47] I I think we could see 37, 39,000 on the Nasdaq and uh and in in in a very very fast manner. I think as I said before, the market resembles uh a lot what we saw back in 2000 here.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-16 2026-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Copper Copper is near a top and will decline from current levels in the near term
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[25:46] I think we're very close to a potential top in the uh at least in copper, I would say. And uh and when that start to come down it's going to be a completely different picture.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-16 2026-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Labor Market The US labor market is in near free-fall and will deteriorate further, contradicting headline payroll data
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[2:57] the labor market is in almost a free fall. That is not what we saw with the non-farm payrolls on on Friday. I know that but but if you look a little deeper then it's it's quite clear that something's going on.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-16 2027-03-07 pending
Henrik Zeberg Inflation Rate Inflation will decline as the slowing economy and weak consumer cannot sustain it, despite current oil-driven spikes
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[3:17] even though oil is spiking and we have this this calculation that tells us that will mean inflation will go up. We have to understand that somebody needs to carry that inflation on... I would be more worried about the opposite, which is that when the inflationary impulse goes through the system, what does that create down the road?

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-09-16 2027-04-15 pending
Henrik Zeberg S&P 500 The stock market will find a major top within the next quarter (by end of Q4 2026)
See quote
[0:00] the stock market's going to find a top within the next quarter. Uh and that's not not going to be just an ordinary market top. It's not just going to be like this is going to be a big one.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2026-11-30 pending
Henrik Zeberg Treasury Market Bond prices will rally significantly (bonds will 'rip') in the near term before the next conversation
See quote
[2:35] you're going to see that bonds are going to rip. You're going to see also that the stock market is going to find a top within the next quarter

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2026-11-30 pending
Henrik Zeberg NASDAQ The NASDAQ will decline by a magnitude similar to the 2000-2001 dot-com bust (approximately 75-80%) over a multi-year period starting from the imminent market top
See quote
[19:00] I don't see any reason why it would be a for for the NASDAQ any less than what we saw in the com days... I think you're going to see something in the NASDAQ similar to the to what we saw in um in 200 uh and one 2000 to 2001 because it's um there is really no reason why we would see anything less than this and the and yeah also technical analysis suggests that that's kind of the magnitude that we should see.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2029-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg NASDAQ The NASDAQ will drop approximately 30% in the initial phase of the crash (over roughly four weeks) once the top is in
See quote
[20:57] I think the uh situation is not just 2000... I think 2000 uh the tech bubble burst will be the appetizer for what we what we're going to see... I think the opening of what we saw in 2000 was a straight move down. I think it was four weeks and the stock market was down. NASDAQ was down 30% or something. Maybe be mistaken, but I think it was something like that. And I think this this could repeat

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2027-03-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg S&P 500 The equity market downturn will last approximately 3 years
See quote
[24:45] I think it's going to be bad. I think you're going to see something in the NASDAQ similar to the to what we saw in um in 200 uh and one 2000 to 2001... I think it can last for you know 3 years or something like that. It's you can easily see it like that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2029-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Gold Gold will reach $25,000 to $30,000 per ounce at the bottom of the coming economic crisis
See quote
[37:45] It actually looks like we could see a price of a around you know 25,000 easily $30,000 per per ounce when we are at the bottom of this crisis

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2030-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Gold Gold will outperform equities over the next several years
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[37:28] the gold is going to outperform over the next many uh not say decades but many years at least

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Palisade Radio 2026-08-21 2030-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg S&P 500 The stock market has not topped and will continue higher in a blow-off top before eventually peaking
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[2:42] we don't we're not at the point where again the stock market is topping right here and now. That's not what I see... I I I think it's going to happen. I mean, it's um there's no indication that the market has stopped at this point.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg Russell 2000 Small cap stocks (Russell 2000) will continue to outperform the S&P 500 as risk rotation continues into the blow-off top phase
See quote
[29:13] we can see the Russell 2000 the small cap index has actually not has been outperforming the S&P 500 over the last uh two months I think and it's starting to show that you can see some of these um these uh small cap stocks and whatever starting to perform better and that rotation will go on.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2026-10-02

The Russell 2000 fell -6.3% while the S&P 500 gained +2.4% over the prediction window, meaning small caps significantly underperformed large caps, directly contradicting the prediction that small caps would continue to outperform.
Henrik Zeberg Microsoft Microsoft has likely topped and will bounce temporarily before resuming a bear market decline
See quote
[29:31] I think there's a good chance we've seen a stock market top in Microsoft for instance and u other stocks as well for in also like that. But you're going to see that they will bounce somewhat into that before they then will continue their bare market decline which I think they're in.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg Inflation Rate Disinflation, not inflation, is coming — the inflation narrative will prove to be wrong
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[30:10] At some point people will realize that inflation is not here. There's no inflation... So there is actually a disinflationary impulse from this... there's no inflation coming. This is completely wrong. Completely wrong.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg Bitcoin Bitcoin will fall below $20,000 within one year
See quote
[44:56] his boldest calls for a year from now — including a bursting AI bubble and Bitcoin below $20,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg US Dollar The DXY will decline to 93-94 in the near term, then rally strongly toward 120+
See quote
[43:43] Dollar forecast: DXY to 93–94 short term, then a run toward 120+

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg AI Stocks The AI bubble will burst within one year
See quote
[44:56] his boldest calls for a year from now — including a bursting AI bubble and Bitcoin below $20,000.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-07-02 2027-07-02 pending
Henrik Zeberg NASDAQ The NASDAQ will reach a target of 33,000 to 34,000 before topping
See quote
[9:16] my target would be at least 33 to 34,000 on the NASDAQ. Uh and I would have to you know re you know calibrate because we have seen these moves also on the Cosby and elsewhere where it's just been going you know vertical.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed NASDAQ would reach 33,000-34,000, but the period high was only $27,288.79, far below the 33,000-34,000 target (which would require a ~24-28% gain from the prediction date price of $26,517.93).
Henrik Zeberg S&P 500 The market top will occur in Q3 2026
See quote
[0:19] the top will be in Q3 of this year. And uh that's being as bold as I can right now.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The S&P 500 peaked around August 4, 2026 at ~7,737 (a record high), then declined through September — closing at ~7,671 on Sept. 29 — suggesting a Q3 2026 market top occurred, consistent with the prediction. (https://www.cnn.com/2026/08/04/investing/us-stock-market)
Henrik Zeberg Bitcoin Bitcoin will reach $100,000 to $120,000 before topping in the current cycle
See quote
[31:01] 100,000, yeah, 100,000 I see definitely and I think it could go to either 100 orund up to 120,000. But that I think was going to be the top in that range.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed Bitcoin would reach $100,000-$120,000 as a cycle top, but the period high was only $87,363.76 on 2026-09-21, falling well short of the $100,000 minimum target.
Henrik Zeberg Ethereum Ethereum will surge strongly in a very short timeframe as part of the final risk-on melt-up before a combined top with stocks
See quote
[28:31] you're going to see Ethereum and others doing very well in a very short amount of time into what will be then a combined top for the stocks and uh and in crypto.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

ETH surged from $1709.53 to a period high of $2805.50 (a ~64% gain) within the prediction window, which clearly qualifies as a strong surge in a short timeframe, satisfying the bullish prediction; the prediction also mentions a combined top with stocks which is harder to verify but the core bullish ETH claim is clearly correct.
Henrik Zeberg Gold Gold will not make new all-time highs in the near term, as its run is over and capital rotates into equities and crypto
See quote
[28:57] silver and gold have had their time in the sun for now... but not new alltime highs here. This is this was gone. This was the that was that time they they had their time with the sun and now you're going to see that coming to the equities and then you're going to see it coming into crypto

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed gold would not make new all-time highs, but the ATH reference is $5586.2 (2026-01-29), and the period high was $4755.0 on 2026-08-25, which did not exceed the ATH — so on that specific claim the prediction appears correct. However, gold rose significantly from $4245.9 to a period high of $4755.0 (+12%), contradicting the bearish 'run is over' sentiment, though the price ended slightly down at $4213.0 by the target date. The core literal claim — no new all-time highs — was technically correct since $4755 < $5586.2.
Henrik Zeberg Silver Silver will see another bounce but will not reach new all-time highs
See quote
[28:57] silver and gold have had their time in the sun for now... not a new alltime high at this point. um that you'll see another bounce, but then I think the that will be due to the I expect the dollar to weaken a little somewhat here actually down to 94 maybe a little lower than that on the Dixie and and if you see that then that will be good for gold and silver but not new alltime highs here.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed silver would see another bounce but not reach new all-time highs. The period high was $71.16 (on trading day 49), which is a bounce from the prediction date price of $66.25, and this is well below the all-time high of $121.30 set on 2026-01-29. Both specific claims were satisfied: there was a bounce (price rose to $71.16) and no new all-time high was reached.
Henrik Zeberg US Dollar The US Dollar Index (DXY) will weaken to around 94 or lower
See quote
[29:44] I expect the dollar to weaken a little somewhat here actually down to 94 maybe a little lower than that on the Dixie

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed DXY would weaken to around 94 or lower, but the period low was only $98.56 (on trading day 43), far above the claimed target of 94, meaning the prediction clearly missed its specific price target.
Henrik Zeberg S&P 500 The stock market will implode after the final melt-up top, causing a major deflationary crash
See quote
[0:27] we could see a huge deflationary factor from the fact that the stock market could implode, which I think it will

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2027-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Recession Fed Chair Powell will be replaced / there will be a regime change at the Federal Reserve
See quote
[21:09] I think he's absolutely right when he says that uh Bet and Powell is way way way too late. And I actually think that the regime that he has been carrying along with him, Pal, is going to be changed.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Wealthion 2026-06-18 2027-01-20 pending
Henrik Zeberg NASDAQ The NASDAQ will rally at least 30% to above 30,000 before reaching a market top
See quote
[18:15] I think you're going to see at least a 30% decline uh 30% rally in the NASDAQ before we see that top. Way above 30,000 or way, but above 30,000 on the NASDAQ.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-04-09 2026-12-31 pending
Henrik Zeberg Gold Gold will experience a major decline from current levels
See quote
[53:59] Gold and silver: why he expects a major decline from here

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-04-09 2027-04-09 pending
Henrik Zeberg Silver Silver will experience a major decline from current levels
See quote
[53:59] Gold and silver: why he expects a major decline from here

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-04-09 2027-04-09 pending