Ed Yardeni Predictions
Economist
Track Ed Yardeni's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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[1:21] I conclude that the economy is going to remain resilient through the end of the decade. I don't think we're going to have a recession and I think um earnings will continue to surprise to the upside and that'll continue to drive the market higher.
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[24:28] if the next CPI number remains closer to 3%, especially when you take out food and energy, um, then he's got an explaining to do.
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[18:00] I'm shooting for 8,250 on the S&P 500 by the end of the year and 10,000 by the end of the decade. And uh those have been my targets for a while and so far so good.
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[18:00] I'm shooting for 8,250 on the S&P 500 by the end of the year and 10,000 by the end of the decade. And uh those have been my targets for a while and so far so good.
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[17:19] I don't think bond yields are rising. I got it. I got them at four to 5% for as far as the I can see. I think we're going to kind of going to stay at normal.
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[17:27] I think we have a short-term inflation problem that will in fact moderate.
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[28:59] I think that after the um some of this turmoil we have with the tariffs and the war, I think once that's behind us and once AI really kicks in uh more on the productivity side... I'm not concerned about the trend of real wages. I think it's going higher.
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[10:09] now everybody's kind of expecting that it'll happen in September. The problem for him is he's getting kind of close to the midterm elections and the president President Trump's not going to be too happy uh if the Fed raises interest rates u between now and and the midterm elections.
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[33:05] we uh maintained our overweight on financials and industrials as the sectors most likely to benefit from all this spending.
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[33:05] we uh maintained our overweight on financials and industrials as the sectors most likely to benefit from all this spending.
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[33:12] then we added healthcare as a I think we all know when you walk into a doctor or doctor's office or a hospital how bad how bad the productivity is and AI could really make a big difference there.
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[23:37] I think the trend is still higher for gold.
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[22:32] I still think there'll be enough of an inflation shock up ahead here and concerns that it's it's spreading that we will see four and 3/4%. But I would view that as a a tremendous buying opportunity.
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[0:00] And I still think this will turn out to be a 10 to 15% correction. And we're halfway through that and that it it could could happen in this week or or next week.
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The prediction claimed a 10-15% correction that would bottom out within two weeks, but the period low of $6474.94 represents only a 1.53% decline from the prediction date price of $6575.32, falling far short of the claimed 10-15% magnitude.
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[17:59] and uh uh you know I'm I'm still using 7700 uh by by the end of u of the of the year
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[7:47] I I think the markets are already looking past the war and I yeah I I would think that the emerging markets uh uh Europe, Japan, Korea, you know there's there's still lots of opportunities there with low lower valuation. m multiples. So I I would stick stick with a go global.
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