Lyn Alden Predictions

Founder of Lyn Alden Investment Strategy

Track Lyn Alden's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

15 forecasts 75% accuracy 3 correct 1 wrong 11 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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15 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Lyn Alden Inflation Rate Inflation will go sideways to down in the coming months, easing in the back half of 2026, though remaining sticky above 2%
See quote
[17:24] I do think again as long as the ceasefire continues, that that should ease in the back half of this year. That we no longer have that kind of rising inflation uh that we that we saw uh in the past few months. And there's really no signs that we're we're we kind of have a breakaway inflation like we saw in in 2021, 2022... I think inflation's still probably going to be stickier above 2%, uh but I I I think it could be correct that it it it goes kind of sideways to down uh in the coming months.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden Fed Funds Rate The Fed is more likely to either hold rates or deliver at most one rate hike in 2026, rather than the market-implied near-certainty of a hike
See quote
[18:59] I I think 90/10 is a pretty aggressive uh position on that. I I'd be I'd be a little bit more split on neutral to to you know, one one hike.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden Gold Gold will not round-trip all of its 2024-2025 gains but needs to find a bottom and build a new base before resuming its uptrend
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[27:30] gold obviously took a hit whenever you have a the market perceived that the Fed's going to be a little little bit more hawkish, you generally get a little bit, uh, of a sell-off in gold. The issue there is that gold had a really, really powerful 2-year run. Uh, so I do think that it has to like build a new base... some bears would say gold's going to round trip, you know, all of its gains from 2024, 2025. I wouldn't be in that camp. Um, but it it did rise really quickly. A lot of the asymmetry was taken out of the trade, and I think it has to kind of find a bottom and and build a new base.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2027-06-19 pending
Lyn Alden Bitcoin Bitcoin will remain under pressure in the near term as capital flows into AI, but its fundamentals are strong with valuation near the lower end of historical indicators
See quote
[31:51] until that kind of cools off a little bit, I think Bitcoin could be some pressured. But I think Bitcoin's fundamentals are still good and it's kind of in the bottom, you know, 10, 15% of its kind of historical... It's it's kind of near the lower end of a lot of its historical indicators.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden AI Stocks Parts of the AI sector are in a bubble and are likely to cool off or consolidate
See quote
[35:14] I I do think that parts of AI are way ahead of themselves... I think the AI trade is heated. I think parts of it are bubbly and like like SpaceX.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2027-06-19 pending
Lyn Alden Crypto Market The broader crypto sector outside of Bitcoin and stablecoins will continue to stagnate and underperform structurally
See quote
[30:19] the broader crypto space, which I'm I'm pretty structurally bearish on outside of Bitcoin and stablecoins. I think it's finally just seen throughout the market that narrative doesn't have as much legs as people thought it did... that industry's kind of gradually stagnating.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-06-19 2028-06-19 pending
Lyn Alden GDP Sustained 5% real GDP growth is unlikely and will be lower than that
See quote
[17:47] my estimate is that 5% sustained real GDP growth is optimistic. Uh I I'd pick a lower um figure than that.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-02-03 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden Interest Rates Interest rates will not go structurally higher over the next 10 years but will remain choppy sideways
See quote
[22:16] if you have me estimate our interest rates going to go structurally up over the next say 10 years I would say probably not. Uh my base case would be choppy sideways for quite a while.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-02-03 2036-02-03 pending
Lyn Alden Bitcoin Bitcoin will be higher two years from now than current levels
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[36:24] I think it's probably, you know, if you if you check in two years from now, it's probably higher than it is now.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-02-03 2028-02-03 pending
Lyn Alden Emerging Markets Latin American equities have passed the turning point and will no longer perpetually underperform US equities
See quote
[2:50] one of my focuses lately, uh, is that I think we're seeing a wake up in Latin American equities to some extent. Uh, it's never going to be a straight line. Um, but I think we might be past the turning point of them kind of perpetually underperforming US equities, uh, in aggregate.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2026-12-31 pending
Lyn Alden Chinese Stocks Chinese equities will perform well
See quote
[3:06] I've also been fairly bullish on Chinese equities.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2026-02-01

The prediction claimed Chinese equities would 'perform well' with a bullish sentiment, and FXI rose 6.9% by the target date (from $37.07 to $39.61), reaching a period high of $41.55 (12.1% gain), which clearly demonstrates the bullish thesis was correct.
Lyn Alden Financial Sector US financial stocks will perform well due to being protected from downside scenarios and still being inexpensive
See quote
[3:37] So I'm pretty bullish on the financials uh in in the US economy. I think they're relatively well protected from some of the downside scenarios, but they're still inexpensive unlike some of the the highest quality tech stocks that are out there.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2026-02-01

The prediction was bullish on US financial stocks (XLF) without specifying a magnitude; XLF rose 3.6% by the target date with a period high of $56.52 (9.6% gain from prediction price of $51.56), demonstrating the predicted upward performance occurred as claimed.
Lyn Alden Energy Sector Energy prices will be higher next year due to slowing US shale growth and potential Fed cuts
See quote
[13:44] I generally think that you know with with US shale oil no longer really growing at the pace that the market's become accustomed to uh and then and as we potentially get those Fed cuts maybe maybe next year for example. Um I do think we could see higher energy prices.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2026-02-01 correct
Lyn Alden US Economy The US economy will gradually decelerate with poor stock market seasonality through September 2025
See quote
[24:08] So I am I'm currently in the camp that views gradually decelerating US economic situation. Uh we don't have great seasonality uh coming up uh especially by September in the stock market. Uh so I do think that at least this two-month window is a time for you know potential caution until we have uh you know maybe a little bit more clarity on what tariffs are going to look like going forward.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2025-09-30

The prediction was wrong on both counts: the S&P 500 rose ~1.9% in August and ~3.5% in September 2025 (its strongest September since 2010), hitting record highs rather than showing poor seasonality; and U.S. Q3 GDP surged to 4.4%, accelerating rather than decelerating. (https://www.bbae.com/blog/sp-500-the-winners-and-losers-of-september-2025/)
Lyn Alden Gold Gold will perform well over the next three to five years
See quote
[31:55] structurally speaking, looking out three to five years, uh, I I continue to be quite bullish on Bitcoin and gold

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-02 2028-02-01 pending