Edward Dowd Predictions

Founder, Phinance Technologies

Track Edward Dowd's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

9 forecasts 9 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
  • Submit corrections
9 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Edward Dowd S&P 500 The S&P 500 will experience a 20-30% pullback within the next 3-6 months (by approximately November 2026)
See quote
[0:00] What I would expect to see sometime in the next three to six months is a healthy 20 to 30% pullback, scary, then a counter trend rally, the Fed starts cutting and then if we're in a bear market that counter trend rally will fail and then we'll go to lower lower lows

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-11-21 pending
Edward Dowd S&P 500 A growth scare will become evident in the S&P 500 and broader markets by the end of Q2 2026
See quote
[5:55] I think I think we're going to see the growth scare come and be evident by the end of Q2

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-06-30 pending
Edward Dowd Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will begin cutting interest rates sometime towards the end of 2026
See quote
[6:03] I think the Fed is not going to raise rates. I think the Fed will be cutting sometime towards the end of this year.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending
Edward Dowd 30-Year Treasury Yield US long-duration Treasury bonds (20-30 year) will rally in the near term
See quote
[4:43] we're still very bullish on long the long bond. We like cash as the best near-term investment dry powder for picking up bargains on the other side of this

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending
Edward Dowd US Housing Market US national housing prices will continue to decline and spread to more markets including blue cities throughout 2026
See quote
[3:56] Housing prices are finally starting to give up the ghost. We had some bad home price declines in March, February, and March... home price declines really started in the south near the border... we're starting to see national prices come down

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending
Edward Dowd Labor Market Corporate layoffs will accelerate throughout 2026 due to margin squeeze from the oil price shock
See quote
[5:08] we're going to see layoffs start to accelerate throughout the year as companies cut the factors of production because of the margin squeeze. We're already seeing layoffs. We'll see those accelerate.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending
Edward Dowd Bitcoin Bitcoin will lead the upcoming equity market correction, having already stalled out after peaking in October 2025
See quote
[15:48] if you want to look at a uh barometer for liquidity, keep watching Bitcoin. Bitcoin peaked in October of uh last year. Bitcoin is trying to rally, but it looks like it may have stalled out. So, watch Bit- Bitcoin will lead the any equity correction.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-11-21 pending
Edward Dowd Semiconductors Semiconductor stocks are near a top and will decline from current levels
See quote
[14:04] I think I think the stock prices themselves are telling you the end is not in semiconductors at least. Whether that causes a general market problem remains to be seen.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2026-12-31 pending
Edward Dowd AI Capital Expenditure AI-related capital expenditure by tech companies will be scaled back due to infrastructure and power constraints
See quote
[29:46] I'm of the opinion CapEx is going to be scaled back as they realize they can't plug into anything.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-05-21 2027-05-21 pending