Unemployment Rate Predictions
Browse Unemployment Rate market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[33:09] So I would expect that we would have at a bare minimum a year from now a six handle on the unemployment rate.
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[8:00] Unemployment is going to spike and inflation is going to spike even more.
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[6:10] So you have AI kicking in right now. Unemployment is going to go through the roof as we all know.
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[8:59] It looks like the unemployment rate will probably tick up a little bit, but it's all it's at very low levels.
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[20:30] I think we're going to see a lot of weakness in the job market because AI is taking jobs and I don't think CEOs want to fess up to that.
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[8:06] we will start to see the unemployment rate tick up.
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[11:06] And interestingly also there's a 67month cycle in the unemployment rate and we're also into a rising unemployment trend according to that cycle uh as well that still has some room to run.
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[12:11] So again, you know, we're we're at a 4.2% uh unemployment rate. That's about the cycle high. I would expect that that's going to continue rising.
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The unemployment rate rose from 4.2% in May 2025 to a high of ~4.5-4.6% by November 2025, before edging down slightly to 4.4% in December 2025 — confirming the prediction that it would continue rising over the course of 2025. (https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/unemployment-rate)
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[8:56] we do expect to be 4.2%. Anowong expect to be 5% next year. The bottom line is you look at that chart looks like a bull flag. It looks like it's heading to 6%. Historically it's always gone to 6% after bonding is low as it was last year around 3.2 or so.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.