Lawrence Lepard Predictions
Founder of Equity Management Associates
Track Lawrence Lepard's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[11:27] I actually think, you know, there's a good some possibility, some nonzero possibility that June rolls around and he cuts 50 bips. Now, watch. Watch. He won't do it. I'll look... I'll look Yeah, I'll look like a complete idiot if that doesn't come true.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[26:17] I actually think there's a pretty decent chance that it's not a break the glass big print this time around, but that it's more of a run it hot big print. In other words, you know, he cuts the rates, the credit starts to grow again. You know, we get all this AI buildout. Unemployment stays quite low. Um, but we have serious serious inflation and the Fed just says, 'Well, you know, we're not going to deal with that because we've got this industrial policy.'
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[27:53] maybe the stock market continues making new nominal highs. I mean, I, you know, I've kind of given up on being a bear on the stock market.
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[3:45] I published the book in February of 25. And so we're over the book has been out now over a year, almost a year and a half. Uh, and I said at that time frame I thought would happen within two years. I might be proven wrong, but we'll see what happens between now and next February.
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[19:45] in spite of recent price behavior in Bitcoin, gold, and silver, you know, I'm still massively bullish on all three of these things. And, and we're just in kind of one of those periods where they they got ahead of themselves last year.
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[19:45] in spite of recent price behavior in Bitcoin, gold, and silver, you know, I'm still massively bullish on all three of these things. And, and we're just in kind of one of those periods where they they got ahead of themselves last year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[19:45] in spite of recent price behavior in Bitcoin, gold, and silver, you know, I'm still massively bullish on all three of these things. And, and we're just in kind of one of those periods where they they got ahead of themselves last year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[28:46] a recession in in the relatively near term is highly unlikely as long as the spending that is going on right now continues at this magnitude. So, you know, you referenced the AI capex spending.
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[0:12] if I had to put this in baseball terms, I would say we're in a gold stock bull market and I think we're probably in the second inning.
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[1:33] they're both going to go much higher and they're both ways of protecting yourself against inflation.
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[3:14] you should be happy that gold's going up because it means Bitcoin's about to go up next. That's the pattern.
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The prediction claimed Bitcoin would go up following gold's pattern, but Bitcoin declined 32.3% from the prediction date price of $104,719.64 to the period low of $60,074.20, with the target date close at $70,893.66 also showing a significant loss, making this bullish prediction incorrect.
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[20:28] I think gold's going to 10,000 20,000 50,000 because that's how much fiat money has been printed
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[27:09] I tend to think that it's going to happen in the next six months. Maybe a year at the most.
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[34:14] I personally believe that in this next cycle, we'll break double digits. The last cycle we went up to nine.
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