Kevin Muir Predictions
Author and Founder of the Macro Tourist Newsletter
Track Kevin Muir's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
3 forecasts 3 pending
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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3 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Kevin Muir Energy Sector Energy prices will remain high for 3 to 6 months regardless of geopolitical resolution Wealthion 2026-04-10 2026-10-10 pending
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[17:45] one of the things that I just learned and I didn't really understand until I spent some time researching some from some shipping experts is that even if you get this thing going tomorrow a month of no shipments takes many months to clear out the system and fix it up. So, we're going to have high energy prices for 3 to 6 months regardless no matter what happens.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Kevin Muir US Economy The US economy will enter a recession, following historical pattern of oil price spikes preceding economic downturns Wealthion 2026-04-10 2027-04-10 pending
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[14:01] I believe that the economy is slowing down, especially in the US... I suspect that the same thing is occurring when it comes to the economic cycle. And the idea that we're no longer going to have an economic cycle. I'm going to call BS on that. I think... So recession and it's just and one of the things that I worry about right now is that we did have this spike in in uh energy prices. And if you look through the two previous um non-COVID economic cycles, right, because let's just put CO aside because we went and shut down the economy for a global pandemic. So, it really wasn't a traditional business cycle by any by any means. Um, but if we look at 2008 and we look at 2000 and I have a couple charts on this, you'll see that both times running up into that period, we had oil rising.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Kevin Muir Magnificent Seven The Magnificent Seven tech stocks will experience a major decline as AI spending fails to generate expected profits Wealthion 2026-04-10 2027-04-10 pending
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[31:17] And what he means there is that these are these are estimates on how much they're going to earn from this spending of AI. But if it doesn't end up being as profitable as they hope, we could get a situation where that that those APS estimates come down in a hurry. And I suspect that there's more of a chance of a real accident in the in the tech than than the market expects.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.