Harry Dent Predictions
Founder of HS Dent
Track Harry Dent's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[12:34] my prediction is you'll see stocks down the S&P up to 50% within 3 months and the Nasdaq up to 60% and it'll happen so fast, then you'll panic and sell and then it'll bounce against that to say you're wrong and then it'll crash 80 to 90% in the next 2 years if history has anything to say about this.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[12:34] my prediction is you'll see stocks down the S&P up to 50% within 3 months and the Nasdaq up to 60% and it'll happen so fast, then you'll panic and sell and then it'll bounce against that to say you're wrong and then it'll crash 80 to 90% in the next 2 years if history has anything to say about this.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[5:15] we should see the markets go down very strongly into October or late this year. And And that's what I'm looking for now.
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[33:06] we should see a sharp 40-50% crash in stocks by the end of this year. That would be the sign that this bubble's over
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[24:03] Bitcoin is going to crash. I've been predicting it's going to go down to at least 30,000 by the end of this year, maybe lower and then the next stop will probably be 250, then 500.
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[24:14] it's going to be closer to a million dollars 10 to 15 years from now and then it will be big enough to be bigger than gold
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[27:20] If I looked at this chart and had no idea what it was, I'd say this is five perfect waves up and now the next low would be around 800 to 1,100 for gold right back at that 2015-16 bottom on your chart. ... that says gold's going to be down 60-70%.
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[28:21] Gold is not going to be the safe haven. Uh, the Treasury bonds of the US is going to be the safe haven as they were in 2008.
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[28:56] bond yields, I'm telling you, I'm expecting a Treasury bond yield and we've already seen 0.4% so many years ago in the last downturn, 2008-2009. We're going to see Treasury bond yields go down to zero or lower.
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[29:27] when that gets washed out, we're going to see zero inflation for the rest of our lives in the developed world.
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[30:09] Housing's going to go down not as much as the stock market, but 50-60-70% and David, that is what's the worst thing for the economy.
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[30:38] real estate will never be the same when we come out of this downturn, okay? Because real estate lasts forever, unlike stocks and other investments, and and basically is the baby boom dies out, there's going to be not enough investment to keep real estate will actually have negative net demand trends because baby boomers will start selling faster than millennials are buying
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[22:15] the first crash is the fastest and hardest. Stocks will go down 40 to 50% in two to four months. In other words, it's they're going to go down 80 or 90 because bubbles don't go down 50% like normal bare markets
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[12:17] gold is not going to go up after just streaking from from 2,000 to 5,000 in the last 3 years. It's part of the bubble
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[19:20] I used to have my target for a 50% crash in gold now to get back to normal levels it's going to have to crash 70 to 80 okay
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[17:04] gold once we crash here and come down to reality that means gold goes down to maybe a,000 $2,000 instead of 5600 here recently
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[14:08] I'm projecting that TLT could double or a little more in this crisis when everything else including now gold and silver uh go down
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[14:03] Bitcoin ought to be at a minimum down to 30,000 by the end of 2026. And I'm projecting as low as 15,600, its 2022 low.
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[28:07] The uh S&P 500 90% and the NASDAQ 95%. If we just go back to the last major low
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[28:05] That tells me gold's going to go down 74%.
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[31:11] they will go that or lower. They could go negative. So, if you're holding that 10-year Treasury and it goes from 4 and a half today down to zero, you know how much that bond's going to be worth? Double.
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[4:52] I expect that the in my case in its worst case but it's also my best case that this first crash takes us down into the summer. 50% from the top on the NASDAQ and QQQ, NASDAQ 100
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The prediction claimed a 50% crash from the top on NASDAQ by summer 2025, but the period low of $15,685.33 represents only a 6.8% decline from the prediction date price of $16,831.48, falling far short of the required 50% magnitude.
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[25:53] I think gold is closer to peaking here. I think if you like some gold, it's a good diversifier. It won't go down as much. I'd say 1,100 to,400 is the downside on that
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