Strait Of Hormuz Predictions
Browse Strait Of Hormuz market predictions and forecasts from well-known financial commentators. Each prediction is tracked from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[33:03] I have low confidence. Uh in this week's weekly technical review... I certainly don't believe that they're, you know, you have the hardliners in Iran that I don't think are going to agree to anything less than them controlling the strait. Um therefore seeing a peaceful resolution I think is unlikely.
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[13:05] There's a lot of reason to be doubtful that this campaign will work for the Americans.
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[2:05] it's pretty clear Iran will control it going forward.
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[20:57] I believe that this is you know this back and forth tit for tat between United States and Iran um is just something to drag out for a number for a number of weeks maybe at the month a month or two and then I think they'll get back to the bargaining table
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[39:04] He dismisses markets pricing 45% chance of normalization before October 1 as too optimistic, noting ships run dark, ship-to-ship transfers hide traffic, and geopolitics will escalate after midterms—Hormuz will never fully normalize as countries build alternatives.
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[43:06] It will be o open in quotes, but it it will be one way or another controlled by Iran going forward. That was not the case before.
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[21:16] I would like somewhere between four and five a day by the end of August. And I think that we will be okay at that point.
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[8:34] Um I think the straits of Hormuz are going to be a problem for months on end.
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