Tom McClellan Predictions

Technical Analyst, McClellan Oscillator

Track Tom McClellan's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

7 forecasts 1 wrong 6 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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7 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Tom McClellan S&P 500 The S&P 500 will bottom within the next week (from September 17, 2026) and then begin a strong bullish advance
See quote
[0:00] I am not bullish today, but I am looking for the moment probably within the next week to turn bullish and then I'm going to be bullish as all get out.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2026-09-30

The prediction claimed a bottom within the next week followed by a 'strong bullish advance.' The period low was $7610.52 on trading day 1 (Sept 18), and the period high was $7782.19 on trading day 3 (Sept 22), representing a ~2.25% rise from the low, but by the target date the price was only up 0.2% from the prediction date. The bottom did occur early (day 1), and there was a brief rally to day 3, but the 'strong bullish advance' claim is not supported by the modest 0.2% net change by target date, and the high of $7782.19 represents only a ~1.9% gain from the prediction date price—not a 'strong' advance.

Tom McClellan S&P 500 The S&P 500 will be up during the third year of the presidential term (approximately late 2026 through 2027)
See quote
[3:28] we're about to head into year three, which is a wonderful time for the stock market. In fact, it's nearly always up... absent conditions like that, you can count on the third year being an upyear.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2027-12-31 pending
Tom McClellan Treasury Market High-yield (junk) bonds will start performing better in October-November 2026 as liquidity improves
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[20:01] I think that liquidity is going to get better and is going to start doing well... I think it's going to start getting better and so this will be one of the confirming signs I'll be looking for as we get into October and November is looking for junk bonds to start doing better

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2026-11-30 pending
Tom McClellan S&P 500 The stock market will reach a major cyclical top around 2028, driven by the seven-year margin debt cycle
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[24:01] somewhere out in 2028 is when we should expect the seven-year type top to arrive.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2028-12-31 pending
Tom McClellan Treasury Yields Treasury yields will rise steeply toward the end of 2026, following the 20-month lag from gold's sharp advance in early 2026
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[29:38] we have this sideways period that interest rates are supposed to be in and then we late at the toward the end of this year uh we get the really steep advance in in interest rates to match the steep advance in gold prices 20 months before.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2026-12-31 pending
Tom McClellan Treasury Yields Treasury yields will peak around August 2028, approximately 20 months after gold's January 2026 top
See quote
[35:11] gold as you may recall topped in January of 2026. So if you count forward 20 months uh from that you get about August of 2028. Um should be the the peak for interest rates

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2028-08-31 pending
Tom McClellan Oil Crude oil prices will peak around August 2028, following gold's January 2026 top with a ~20-month lag
See quote
[35:11] gold as you may recall topped in January of 2026. So if you count forward 20 months uh from that you get about August of 2028. Um should be the the peak for interest rates and uh peak for oil prices.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-09-17 2028-08-31 pending