Stephanie Pomboy Predictions
Macro Analyst, Founder of MacroMavens
Track Stephanie Pomboy's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[12:00] I'm not saying we're going to go to 10% bond yields over the next year. I'm just saying in general it the path for interest rates is higher not lower.
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[12:00] so should deglobalization be get the opposite. So we should expect to see... the path for interest rates is higher not lower. And the same with inflation.
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[15:03] The real TINA isn't stocks. The real TINA is QE in my view.
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[15:03] I know this is just setting a base from which it's gonna have to move up that much higher and I think um this is also true of oil
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[17:49] I have a very hard time imagining that Worsh would raise rates as his first um course of action. Um you know I think that they believe that this oil price situation is is going to be transitory... and that um once they wrap up this Iran thing, oil prices are going to come crashing downward... I I think that's probably what he'll do is he'll he'll expect that uh this is just short-lived and uh give it a minute and he'll have an opportunity to cut.
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[17:49] this idea that um you know the inflation will go away and that if Kevin Worsh just sits aside for a little while and gives it a minute, he'll have an opportunity to cut later is probably incorrect.
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[12:00] I expect we'll probably see more of those pressures, especially if wars actually endeavors to shrink the balance sheet.
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