Ray Dalio Predictions

Founder, Bridgewater Associates

Track Ray Dalio's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

7 forecasts 7 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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7 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Ray Dalio US National Debt A debt-induced credit tightening crisis will occur within the next two years (by late 2028)
See quote
[15:34] I think it's going to occur after the somewhere in the next two years.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending
Ray Dalio 2026 Midterm Elections Democrats will take the House and possibly the Senate in the midterm elections
See quote
[15:49] we're going to see the midterm elections. And in those elections, it's likely that uh the Democrats will take the House and possibly the Senate.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2026-11-03 pending
Ray Dalio Treasury Yields Money/debt will be devalued as a result of high debt levels, making debt assets poor investments
See quote
[23:04] when there's a lot of debt there is down the line um a devaluation of money. Debt is money and money is debt... when you're holding that as a dead asset, I don't think it's a good asset. in in this confluence right now of circumstances

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending
Ray Dalio AI Stocks Companies being transformed by AI (cost-cutters and revenue growers) are underpriced and will outperform
See quote
[26:03] those that are going to be favorably affected by AI which are companies that are going to be transitioned um they'll um either increase their sales or they will cut their costs. I don't think I I think that they're not well priced in.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending
Ray Dalio AI Stocks Large-cap AI hyperscalers and major AI bets are overpriced and expensive, implying underperformance
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[26:24] I think the um supercalers and the um other ones um you know which are you'd say the big AI bets um they're overpriced they're expensive

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending
Ray Dalio Treasury Yields Inflation-indexed bonds (TIPS) with ~3% real yields will deliver attractive returns as inflation pressures persist
See quote
[28:48] I think infl leveraged inflation index bonds is an interesting mix because the returns of cash will be relatively low the real yield on u inflation index bonds is now about 3% pretty good real yield and that I think inflation pressures carries it forward.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending
Ray Dalio US Internal Political Conflict There will be significant internal political conflict including impeachment proceedings following the midterm elections
See quote
[30:19] I'm very concerned about um the midterm elections causing internal conflict. I think there will be a great conflict um you know impeachment that doesn't mean thrown out of office but there's going to be u a great conflict.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The Julia La Roche Show 2026-10-08 2028-10-08 pending