John Feneck Predictions
CEO, Feneck Consulting
Track John Feneck's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
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[3:02] So for gold, for us it's 3,900 has to hold. If it doesn't hold, we'd bring in a test of probably 3,600. Um but you know we're not going to retest 3,300 in our view. That was sort of like that major plateau that was built months ago.
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[4:12] There's no possible way that would happen without a 20 to 30% correction in the NASDAQ and the S&P next year.
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[4:12] There's no possible way that would happen without a 20 to 30% correction in the NASDAQ and the S&P next year.
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[10:12] We sold some silver as I told you on the last time, you know, over a hundred bucks. We sold maybe 15 20% of our position in the first two months of this year. And we're going to buy that back at the right price. But the right price to me is like 50 to 55. I want to see if 55 holds here again. We're at 60 and a half 61 as we record this.
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[21:10] I think that stock is gone by this time next year. I don't I don't think it it survives. I mean, it's at 18 cents. They have 3.2 million ounces of gold. They're on their way to 3 and a half to 4 million ounces. And they have senior leadership who, you know, have a great relationship with Agnigo. So, like to me at 18 cents, what what if they get taken out at 35 and it's a double from here?
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[0:00] We went from March 1st to August 1st and lost 40% on GDX in the HUI. That's shocking, right? That's like double uh double correction. So seeing the bounce in August was very bullish for me because it it did indicate that we're in a bull market.
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[24:00] As of June 30th, we had 17% of our money in just tungsten related equities. Um, we had probably a third of our portfolio in critical minerals then and that's gone up as of September 30. We haven't released those numbers yet, but I will tell you that tungsten, you know, is has got to be close to 23 to 25% now.
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[25:02] So he started a company called Kazr that owns 70% of Cass Resources. CAS Resources to me is like one of the biggest tungsten deposits globally. And this company KZR owns 70% of it. So you don't have to own 100% of something to make a lot of money. That has a 50-year mine life. I mean this could this could produce 12 to 15% of the world's tungsten. The catch is it's not producing until Q1 of 2030.
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[32:53] These guys are going into production next year. I had a three-hour dinner with them. There's no possible way I see that they wouldn't go into production next year.
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[17:54] let's say they get their permit Jan one they're producing in Q1 of 2028. I mean and the stocks at 12 cents US.
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[26:35] Western Star is another one that I really like right near them. Um that one I gave your listeners last time. And that what is WSR if in the states and WSR in Canada. I just spent time with Blake at Beaver Creek as well. This guy has three projects in Nevada and New Mexico. Um they're putting out some some good results. Like I think they're going to put out a lot more good results. Um it's it's just a process. You know, you have to wait for these things. They're early stage and you have to be patient as an investor and try to hold these for 1 to three years. and I think you're going to make a lot of money.
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[28:56] FSTTF in the states and FTEL, FTEL in Canada is first. They have a toybased technology for drones and they're making their first drone as we speak. It's not made yet, but I think it will be by this month. Um, and I think they're going to shock people with what this thing can do because I don't know if you saw the news a few days ago on Dragonfly.
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[31:56] I think that's happening in Colombia right now. We we have a new election there. I think about 2 three months ago. This guy's very promining. So we're we're loading up on Colombia stocks.
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[3:48] Basically, I think you could test 3900 again here. You know, it wouldn't surprise me a double test of that level, but I don't see us cracking 3,900 to the downside.
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[4:54] we we we stick by our call uh that the bottom is in
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[1:57] I think that you can see a move from 0.1% ownership of our sector to 1% ownership of our sector even by next year because of a sector rotation out of the broad market and into things that are safer.
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[36:01] my thesis is that the US will start you know building refineries smelters things like that over the next couple of years in our own country
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[12:26] I think this tailwind goes into next year for sure. And the reason I say that is Almonty is way behind in terms of getting their you know metal out of the ground.
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[17:40] we want to break back into that channel for silver of of 70 to the 85, right?
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[17:44] We want to see gold break back into that 4,500 plus, you know, price area and and retest 5,000, hopefully within 6 months or so, right?
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[18:00] will we get back there this year? Not the way I see things right now. I think we'll see that probably in Q1 of next year.
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[34:41] And if they win this, which they think they will, they basically get intros to these companies, which again, trading at 16 and 1/2 cents US, like it's a flyer at this price, right? But when you get one big contract, it's not a flyer anymore. Like they're basically going to get their technology vetted by someone, and I think that's going to happen this year or next year.
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[16:13] I think that smackdown is going to come within the next 9 months into Q1. You're going to have a comeuppance here. Maybe driven by the Fed, maybe driven by Trump, maybe driven by war. Who knows? But like things are going to teeter and fall at some point.
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[9:43] Bank of America reiterated 6,000 gold by the end of this year. Goldman Sachs is at 5,400 by the end of this year. Uh, JP Morgan is at 5,50 at the end of this year. These institutions have not typically been friendly to gold over the years... I would agree with that.
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[37:42] at 28 29 cents where you just saw in the chart US I mean we just hit 65 cents before it pulled back so I think we're going to revisit that you know 55 to 65
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