Jeff Christian Predictions
Managing Partner, CPM Group
Track Jeff Christian's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[32:39] the gold price can fall to $4,000 or it could fall to $3,800. It can actually fall even further and still be in a long upward trend. We think that the gold price probably will trade stay above 3 $3,800 4,000 in the near term and that the price will probably consolidate with a slight upward bias over the next year uh and move slightly and move somewhat higher in starting in the last four months of this year and going into 2027 and possibly going into 2028.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[26:34] I think that you probably will see at some point over the next month or so oil prices coming back down.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[0:00] We are headed toward a weaker economy. That suggests that the stock market could actually suffer because of earnings weaknesses.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[8:59] It looks like the unemployment rate will probably tick up a little bit, but it's all it's at very low levels.
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[34:14] My floor is probably around $4,300 right now. That's a lot lower than it is now. Yes, it is. But my ceiling is probably around 5,500.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a floor of $4,300 and ceiling of $5,500 for the next month or so. The period low was $4,100.80 (below the floor) and the period high was $5,405 (within the $4,300-$5,500 range), so the ceiling held but the floor was breached, partially invalidating the prediction's stated boundaries.
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[36:15] And March is an active COMX delivery month. The other 432 million ounces mostly will be rolled into May over the course of February. And that will have an up uh that will apply upward pressure on the silver price especially in the last two weeks of of of February.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed upward pressure especially in the last two weeks of February, and the period high of $93.88 on 2026-02-27 (which falls in the last two weeks) represents a 22.6% gain from the prediction date price of $76.53, confirming the bullish pressure occurred precisely when claimed.
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[1:55] our expectation has been all along that the gold price would be rising in through 2025 into 2026 uh and would reach new levels in 2026, maybe going into 2027
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[37:08] we have gold trading around 4,000 by the end of this year
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would trade 'around $4,000' by end of 2025, and the period high reached $4,556.3 (well above $4,000) during the prediction window, confirming the price target was met and exceeded.
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[37:40] we have gold trading around 4,000 4,100 for most of next year
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[42:56] our expectation is that it probably touches $50 toward the end of this year or in the first quarter of next
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would 'touch $50' by end of 2025 or Q1 2026, and the period high reached $121.3 on 2026-01-29, far exceeding the $50 target, so the prediction is correct.
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[1:28] we're looking for gold prices to average around 2700 or so uh over the next year or so and we're looking for a higher average price in 2026.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[2:05] our annual average projected for 2025 is about $2,960. $2,956.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would average $2,956 in 2025, but the period low during the prediction window was $3,125 on 2025-05-15, which is $169 above the predicted average, and the overall price action showed gold trading well above the predicted average throughout the period, making it impossible for the 2025 annual average to reach $2,956.
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[6:48] you're going to have a deep recession. You're going to have higher inflation. You're going to have lower growth. you're going to have further deterioration in the United States stature both domestically and on an international basis.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[11:07] you're talking about the US debt going from 36 trillion to something close to 60 trillion within a few years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[20:02] I I think it's at least 6 months down the road.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[34:13] I think our average silver price is around 32 $33 an ounce in there.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would average $32-33 per ounce in 2025, but the period high reached $79.7 and the price closed at $70.13 on the target date, far exceeding the claimed average range and indicating the prediction significantly underestimated 2025 silver prices.