Gary Wagner Predictions
Editor of the gold forecast.com
Track Gary Wagner's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[6:51] My call of $6,000 is standing because I expected a correction and it's early in the year. So by year end to go to 6,000 would require that that market sentiment of bullishness that's been prevalent for quite some time uh still remains and I don't see a reason that that changed
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[14:23] Personally, I think silver is headed higher. Um, it's broken above. This is the next minor level of resistance at 8751 and it's at 86.98. So, not that far. And then, of course, this is major resistance at 97 to um $100 per ounce. I think silver is moving higher.
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[26:01] Short term I'm looking at between 5,100 more likely 5200 to 5250 short term. I'm talking about before the end of this quarter.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would reach $5,200-$5,250 by end of Q1 2026, but the period high was only $5,586.2 on 2026-01-29, which exceeded the target range. However, the prediction specifically stated '$5,200 to $5,250' as the target, and while the price did reach $5,586.2 (exceeding $5,250), the exact claim was for the $5,200-$5,250 range, which was achieved during the period, making this correct.
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[26:51] Long-term, my target at the end of the year, drum roll, is at minimum $6,000 per ounce at minimum.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[28:16] Short-term. Again, my short-term target is about $115.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would reach $115 per ounce in the short term by March 31, 2026. The period high was $121.3 on January 29, 2026, which exceeds the $115 target, confirming the prediction was correct even though the price declined significantly by the target date.
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[29:54] In terms of my endofear target, the way we've seen it explode, I'm looking for 160 to 180 by the end of 2026.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[3:46] I do think personally we will get a December rate cut.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 10, 2025, lowering the federal funds rate target range to 3.50%–3.75%, confirming the prediction was correct. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20251210a.htm)
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[25:53] I think the more the more likely scenario in silver is a continuation of the recent bullish trend moving higher taking out the former all-time record high of 5445
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would 'take out the former all-time record high of $54.45' (referencing the ATH of $53.34 based on the provided data), and the period high reached $79.7 on 2025-12-29, which significantly exceeded this target, making the prediction correct.
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[7:27] acceptable correction would easily be about a 23.6% retracement and that would take gold to around 3890
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed a 23.6% retracement from $3975.9 to around $3890, but the period low of $3913.7 represents only a 1.6% decline from the prediction date price, falling significantly short of the claimed 23.6% correction magnitude.
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[34:15] I would be hardressed to see an effective close above 50 for a sustained number of weeks
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would not sustain an effective close above $50 for a sustained number of weeks, but silver closed above $50 on the target date at $70.13 and spent the final weeks of the period well above $50 (period high of $79.7 on 2025-12-29), directly contradicting the bearish claim.
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[25:37] I think that will happen actually fairly if it does occur. I believe it could occur over the next uh two to three weeks. But to go to the levels I have spoken about that I am not looking at as uh something even towards the end of the year maybe first quarter of 2026 to hit the target of 37 to 3,800.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would reach $3,700 to $3,800 by Q1 2026, but the period high during this timeframe reached $5,586.2 on 2026-01-29, significantly exceeding the predicted target range of $3,700-$3,800, making this prediction correct as the price surpassed the claimed levels.
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[25:41] I believe it could occur over the next uh two to three weeks.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold would 'break above current resistance levels' within two to three weeks; the period high of $3698.6 on trading day 13 represents an 8.6% gain from the prediction date price of $3404.6, confirming that resistance was broken upward during the specified timeframe.
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[34:55] I don't think the story is over. What's the next level you're looking for for silver? Uh on the upside is uh almost 42. uh this is basis of futures contract between 41 and $42
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed silver would reach $41-$42, and the period high during the target window reached $121.3, far exceeding the $41-$42 target range, making the prediction correct.
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[1:15] I believe that as things are set up now, I don't see an out a way out of not having a recession. All of these steps are taking us to that point.
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[8:37] So my sense is that at some point I believe that it will hopefully occur this week you will see gold begin to disconnect from the selling pressure that we're seeing in equities.
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[22:31] My census gold will trade to 3500. It's the when that I'm a little bit more conservative conservative than other analysts. Right now I'm I'm looking at the top potential top of gold. This of course are calculations done before the fall but they're still relevant. anywhere between 3,350 and 3,400 an ounce. 3,500 an ounce. If I had to calculate, I would have looked for a second quarter next year.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.