Ed Dowd Predictions

Former BlackRock Portfolio Manager, Founder of Finance Technologies

Track Ed Dowd's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

6 forecasts 6 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
  • Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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6 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Ed Dowd US Housing Market US home prices will continue to decline and filter through the economy over the next 6 to 12 months as construction layoffs continue.
See quote
[1:33] home prices g nationally are starting to roll. There's still some bright spots in the blue cities. So, uh nationally, they're starting to roll over and that's 20% of the economy... So that should should filter in over the next uh 6 to 12 months as construction layoffs continue.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2026-12-05 pending
Ed Dowd AI Stocks The AI bubble will burst within the next couple of months.
See quote
[4:35] we're we're in the danger zone here in the next couple months. So the AI bubble we believe is going to burst.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2026-08-05 pending
Ed Dowd Semiconductors Semiconductor stocks are experiencing a blowoff top and are near their peak move, with the current rally being the last takeoff before a reversal.
See quote
[3:50] semiconductor stocks are up 80% in nine weeks. These are these are blowoff tops. We've seen this before in the dotcom era and there are shortages but shortages lead to glutes and we think this is the last gasp the last the last takeoff in the AI stocks

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2026-09-05 pending
Ed Dowd S&P 500 The S&P 500 will deliver approximately 0% total return over the next 10 years, implying a significant drawdown at some point during that period.
See quote
[7:55] if you were to like get an inheritance and put your $1 million inheritance in the stock market today, you're likely guaranteed a 0% return including dividends for 10 years, which incl which implies a a tremendous draw down between now and then.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2036-06-05 pending
Ed Dowd Bitcoin Bitcoin is likely to find a new low in the near term.
See quote
[18:08] technically, it looks like it wants to go find a new low at the moment. It may rally from here, but uh the NASDAQ and Bitcoin have a strong correlation.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2026-09-05 pending
Ed Dowd Gold Gold will reach $10,000 by 2030.
See quote
[21:50] I know when it's done, we're going to see $10,000 gold by 2030, which was I also made that call at the beginning of 2025. So, that call is intact.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

ITM Trading 2026-06-05 2030-12-31 pending