Jim Rickards Predictions
Investment Adviser, Economist, Editor
Track Jim Rickards's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[4:03] Well, possibly before the end of the year, but sooner than later, meaning if it's it could very well be before the end of the year, but if it's mid-2027, it doesn't matter that much. It's coming soon. It's not a 5-year forecast in other words. I mean, gold always goes up. So, if you have a long enough timeline, you can get it right. But, this is something I expect in a relatively short period of time. So, yeah, possibly before the end of the year, but but early next year if not.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[13:04] He's going to raise interest rates, but not in September. Uh he made that very clear. They're certainly not going to do it. They say they're not political. That's nonsense. They're highly political. He's not going to raise interest rates before the midterm elections.
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[15:57] but they're probably going to raise rates in November. So, they'll adjust they adjust the prices today. They don't wait until November.
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[24:04] I still I feel very comfortable with my $10,000 announce call, which I made on your show and uh earlier, but uh that um we were not looking at peak gold or a meltdown. We were looking at these kinds of draw downs that do happen and now we've hit the bottom and we're going to uh going much higher from here.
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[19:04] it fell over 20%, a lot more than 20%. Um, and then the talk was, "Oh, okay. Is this the end of the gold bull market? Is this a bubble? Is it heading down?" A lot of people say, "Yeah, it's it's peaked. It's heading down, you know, etc." Um, but I did an analysis... I said the bottom will be uh at or above 3600. It could go as low as 3600. It actually went to 3,900 which is not exactly 36 but same order of magnitude. And I said, "From there, it's going to bottom, and it's going to go a lot higher very quickly." And that's what happened.
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[5:38] My view is that Trump's on the uh losing side of that bet that Iran has the uh the better posture, the the better timeline... The the Trump administration has really been uh I would say kind of misled but maybe misled themselves to wishful thinking about the possibility of regime change in Iran. That is not happening.
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[6:53] I think the bottom is probably closer to $4,000 an ounce. We'll see. But my point is, it's not, as long as you can understand what's going on, it's not a reason to panic. It's not a reason to sell all your gold. I think it'll be foolish. Quite the opposite, if you don't have any gold or perhaps you want to increase your allocation, it's a great buying opportunity.
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[7:59] you're on the launch pad. You're now you are ready to go to the moon. You're ready for the six seven $8,000 numbers I've talked about on your way to 10,000.
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[25:51] Silver silver tags along silver acts the same way with with two footnotes. Number one usually with a lag you know gold will take off before silver will take off but silver's along for the ride... yeah, it's going to go up to over 100 and then keep going.
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[18:19] rate cuts are off the table, so forget rate cuts. Uh now, so the question is, will the Fed continue the pause, which has been in place since last December, or will they raise? That's a close question... I think it's close. I don't want to put a stake in the ground but don't be surprised if they raise rates. Now that's a stupid thing to do. That that that's my forecast. It's a big mistake, but it's the Fed.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Fed held rates steady at 3.50%–3.75% in a unanimous 12-0 vote on June 17, 2026, continuing the pause rather than raising rates as predicted. While the dot plot turned hawkish (signaling a possible future hike), no actual rate increase occurred at this meeting. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260617a.htm)
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[0:17] we're we're probably going at best case we're going into recession. Stock markets are going to go down more.
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The prediction claimed stock markets would 'go down more,' but the S&P 500 reached a period low of $4835.04 (14.1% decline from $5633.07) before recovering to $6845.5 (21.5% gain) by year-end, meaning markets ultimately went up significantly rather than down as predicted.
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[29:16] I think he is gonna withdraw
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Biden officially withdrew from the 2024 presidential race on July 21, 2024 — before the August 1 target date — and endorsed Vice President Kamala Harris, confirming the prediction was correct. (https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/president-joe-biden-drops-2024-presidential-race-rcna159867)