Fred Hickey Predictions
Editor, The High-Tech Strategist
Track Fred Hickey's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
3 forecasts 3 pending
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3 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Fred Hickey S&P 500 The stock market will experience a major crash with stocks declining 70% or more as the greatest bubble in US history unwinds Thoughtful Money 2026-07-14 2028-07-14 pending
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[3:42] Well, I'm in complete agreement with Jeremy Grantham that we're in the greatest bubble in stock bubble in US history. and he he thinks you're going to have a great crash. The stocks are going to decline 70%. Or more. Um, I'm not sure that will happen, but I know this is the this I agree with him that this is the greatest bubble
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Fred Hickey Tech Stocks Google's depreciation expenses will double from 17% to 35% by 2028, crushing hyperscaler earnings below current Wall Street expectations Thoughtful Money 2026-07-14 2028-12-31 pending
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[20:32] Google's depreciation expenses are going to rise from uh what was 17% up to up to 35% by 2028. So they're going to see the depreciation expenses double. Um so this is the problem is that you have a gigantic uh uh market cap that's being fed by these uh the mag seven hyperscalers. Uh and yet uh it doesn't look like right now the way things are trending that they're going to get the cash flows that they thought they were going to get.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Fred Hickey AI Stocks Some AI data center companies, potentially including Oracle, will go bankrupt due to excessive debt and lack of returns on investment Thoughtful Money 2026-07-14 2028-07-14 pending
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[19:18] I believe some of these companies will end up going bankrupt. I mean, Oracle has um their debt is two and a half times their sales from last year. It's just enormous amounts of debt that has been poured on into this market.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.