Benjamin Cowen Predictions
Founder and CEO, Into the Cryptoverse
Track Benjamin Cowen's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[21:50] historically the right move for Bitcoin is to accumulate it throughout the second half of the midterm year and just prepare yourself ideally for a bull run, getting us out into 2027 and and 2028. So, that's that would be what I would focus on over the next few months.
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[25:31] I think the the odds of 57k being the low after this rally are significantly higher. And I I would argue that if if we get above the 50we moving average on a couple of weekly closes, then I think you're looking at least at a 50% probability uh that the low is in.
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[26:15] if if we're just rejected here at around like 80 81k, then there's still a chance that we go lower and and and you know, search out the realized price uh which is in the lower 50s
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[29:32] if if whale activity does not increase in the short term, I I think that could, you know, that could certainly be the case for for for Bitcoin getting at least one more scare in Q4, at which point hopefully we would see whale activity pick up.
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[18:42] arguably maybe we'll have one again at the end of 2026. But the point is is if if we do get a correction in the stock market near the end of 2026
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[23:26] I think the energy sector uh still has has room to run for a while. Um I mean, it might get caught up in a in a correction in the S&P, but I I think that would be relatively shortlived.
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[23:36] Gold I I would still remain long-term bullish on. If you do get a little pop up in the dollar in the short term, it might lead to risk assets like Bitcoin and gold and stock market to get a pullback. But for gold, you know, I think there would be a really strong case to be made for a higher low rather than a lower low
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[16:43] I would assume that the Bank of Japan is also likely going to raise rates. probably Bank of Japan's probably going to raise rates in September and they might even raise rates twice uh this year
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[16:38] My guess is that the the Fed will raise rates later this year.
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[11:26] in order to get a full-blown alt season as a lot of people would like, it would actually likely require a parabolic Bitcoin rally first. Okay? So it would be a euphoric Bitcoin that's going, you know, far beyond all-time highs that would then, you know, precipitate the idea of an altcoin season.
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[11:56] I would not expect this to be a massive rotation into altcoins away from Bitcoin. And if if there is any type of rotation, I think it would be temporary
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