Sam Burns Predictions

Chief Market Strategist at Mil Street Research

Track Sam Burns's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

9 forecasts 60% accuracy 3 correct 2 wrong 4 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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9 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Sam Burns Fed Funds Rate The Fed will make one or two more rate cuts over the next 6 months, but not a lot.
See quote
[4:43] I think the Fed is kind of a bit stuck in terms of its ability to respond uh policy-wise uh as aggressively as they might otherwise. I think that inflation is telling them one thing and labor market is telling them something else. So, we're going to get, you know, maybe one or two more cuts over the next 6 months, but not a lot.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-11-23 2026-05-23 pending
Sam Burns US Dollar Demand to move assets out of the US dollar will probably go on for a while longer, at least as long as Trump is there.
See quote
[0:14] There's basically been the demand to move assets or kind of exposure out of the US and the US dollar in particular uh will probably go on for a while longer. At least as long as Trump is there and causing chaos.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-11-23 2029-01-20 pending
Sam Burns Gold Gold may hold up as demand to move assets out of the US dollar continues for a while longer.
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[35:38] I think gold may hold up. I think the demand to move um assets or kind of exposure out of the US and the US dollar in particular uh will probably go on for a while longer at least as long as Trump is there and causing chaos. I think a lot of central banks and a lot of you know people outside the US are trying to look for alternatives to the US dollar. There aren't a lot of good alternatives. So that's why gold has been has benefited.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-11-23 2029-01-20 pending
Sam Burns Oil Oil prices will continue to be sideways to down due to weak supply-demand dynamics.
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[34:44] I think that oil crude oil prices are probably going to be still struggle to go up. I think they're going to continue to maybe be sideways to down. I think the supply demand in crude oil is still still kind of weak.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-11-23 2026-05-23

The prediction claimed oil prices would be 'sideways to down' due to weak supply-demand dynamics, but oil rose 51.2% from $58.84 to $88.98 by the target date and reached a period high of $119.48, representing a strong upward move that directly contradicts the bearish 'sideways to down' forecast.
Sam Burns Bitcoin Bitcoin will probably take time to consolidate and crypto has had its run for now.
See quote
[35:24] I think it'll probably take time to to consolidate it at best um and before it it you know crypto does well again. I think they've kind of had their run for now.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-11-23 2026-05-23

The prediction claimed crypto would 'take time to consolidate' and 'have had their run for now' (bearish sentiment), and Bitcoin did decline 18.7% by the target date with a period low of $60,074.20 representing a 30.8% drop from the $86,805.01 prediction price, validating the bearish consolidation thesis even though price partially recovered by the target date.
Sam Burns US Economy US economic growth will be much slower than it would have been otherwise due to policy headwinds
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[4:28] I think the growth rate of the US economy will be much slower than it would have been otherwise

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-07 2026-08-07 pending
Sam Burns S&P 500 The S&P 500 is more likely to see downside surprises over the next six months
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[11:19] I think there's more likely to be um you know downside surprises we let go out of the next six months

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-07 2026-02-07

The prediction claimed downside surprises were more likely over the next six months, but the S&P 500 experienced an overall 9.3% gain with a period low of only -0.47% from the prediction date, showing the market moved upward with minimal downside rather than experiencing downside surprises.
Sam Burns Inflation Rate Inflation will likely see an uptick over the next month or two due to lagged tariff effects
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[24:18] I think there's definitely a chance that you'll see an uptick in the next month or two as well as some of these prices again come through with a slight lag

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-07 2025-10-07

CPI rose to 2.9% annually in August and then 3.0% in September 2025 — the hottest annual pace since early 2025 — consistent with the predicted uptick. Tariff-sensitive goods like apparel and furniture showed price increases, and the St. Louis Fed confirmed tariffs explained roughly 0.5 percentage points of headline PCE inflation over June–August 2025. (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_10242025.htm)
Sam Burns Durable Goods Durable goods prices will be higher in 6 months due to ongoing tariff impacts
See quote
[37:50] I think in 6 months, um, the odds are you going to be paying a higher price, not a lower one

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2025-08-07 2026-02-07

By February 2026, durable goods prices were higher than in August 2025, with OpenBrand's CPI showing 15 consecutive months of month-over-month price increases, and the Yale Budget Lab confirming significant tariff pass-through to durable goods (over 100% implied pass-through by late 2025). However, the increases were more modest than many predicted — BLS data showed durable goods roughly flat month-to-month in February and only moderate annual gains. (https://openbrand.com/newsroom/blog/cpi-february-2026)