Nick Gerli Predictions
Housing Market Analyst
Track Nick Gerli's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
- Submit corrections
See quote
[3:03] I don't want to sugarcoat the fact that I think there's still a lot of negativity ahead on average for the national housing market.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[10:02] What I think we're going to see even more of in the future is people who bought with these high prices and high payments are going to end up selling in distress.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[15:29] What I think we're going to see is just more of that pressure build over the next year, especially as more and more of the existing owner population converts to the higher mortgage rates.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[20:02] I think we could just continue to see this low demand that we've now seen for four years. I think we could see it for another four years. Now, it'll improve a little bit over those four years, but I don't think we're anywhere close to buyers jumping back in.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[12:39] This is the first time that we're actually really starting to see price points that are 2017, 2018, 2019 price points for sale on the market. And uh this is actually something I did myself two or three months ago as well.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[38:33] If you see a big downward forecast like in Colorado, 6% in a year at a state level is a huge downward forecast. Washington were minus 6% as well.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[2:52] I think we do here at Reventure, Adam. I mean, we have downward forecasts for about half of the US housing market in 2026 based on current data, based on the current data and inventory and days on market. That's not really yet factoring in this recent sales report. And if this demand continues to trend negatively uh like we expected to over the next couple months, I think we're going to probably have to revise down our forecasts in quite a few different states and cities.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
See quote
[4:51] I think probably by the middle to the end of 2026, Reenture might have some buy signals in markets like Austin, uh potentially some markets in Florida where the values have really gone down a lot already.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.