John Butler Predictions

Author, The Amphora Report

Track John Butler's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

5 forecasts 5 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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5 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
John Butler Stock Market Indices Major stock market indices will sink to low double-digit P/E valuations within the next couple of years
See quote
[39:09] I would be very surprised if major stock market indices got through the next couple of years without sinking into low double-digit valuations. We're we're talking sort of price-earnings terms. Um could even get back to where we were in the early '80s.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-22 2028-07-22 pending
John Butler AI Stocks AI stocks are in a bubble that will burst, comparable to or worse than the dot-com bust
See quote
[41:37] I I I think AI is a huge bubble. I actually think a lot of the AI hype is even less justifiable than some of the dot-com nonsense regarding the in the late 1990s when people were registering domains and IPO'ing without having a single employee or any any cash flow at all.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-22 2028-07-22 pending
John Butler S&P 500 The stock market will reprice lower to reflect geopolitical and supply disruption risks currently being ignored
See quote
[7:22] The stock market has yet, in my opinion, the stock market has yet to wake up to that very fundamental reality. If you just don't know something, you have to place a lower valuation on a company. And yet, look at the valuations we're trading at. Something's got to give.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-22 2027-07-22 pending
John Butler Inflation Rate A wave of stagflation is building and central banks will be unable to raise interest rates sufficiently to combat it
See quote
[15:49] There's a wave of inflation building. There's a wave of stagflation building. Central banks will find that very difficult to deal with. They will not be willing to raise interest rates further into a slowdown.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-22 2027-01-15 pending
John Butler Fed Funds Rate Fed Chair Warsh will eventually cut rates after failing to sustain rate hikes into a supply-shock-driven recession
See quote
[27:28] But the reality, if he's trying to raise rates into a supply shock and crashes the economy into recession, it's not it's not going to last very long, in my opinion. He'll eventually give up, cut rates, uh real interest rates will decline, investors will see where it's leading and go right back piling into precious metals again.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-22 2028-07-22 pending