Chris Galipeau Predictions

Head Market Strategist, Franklin Templeton

Track Chris Galipeau's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

9 forecasts 1 wrong 8 pending

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9 forecasts

Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome

Chris Galipeau S&P 500 The S&P 500 will be up on average about 12% over 3, 6, and 12 months following major geopolitical events, with a 75% hit rate

See quote

[12:01] the S&P 500 is up on average about 12% with a 75% hit rate. And the reason for that is the stock market doesn't care about geopolitics. The stock market doesn't care about politics. The stock market cares about earnings and stock prices follow earnings over time.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2027-07-01 pending

Chris Galipeau MAG 7 / Hyperscalers Mag 7 / hyperscaler stocks have likely bottomed and should rally from current levels in the near term

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[3:16] the hyperscalers and the mag seven guys really struggle this year down into today 174 basis points so red and that's 12% behind the S&P those stocks have probably bombed out sold pulled out, they probably should rally

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-12-31 pending

Chris Galipeau Q2 2026 Earnings S&P 500 Q2 2026 earnings will come in above 15% year-over-year growth, though below the consensus estimate of 20%+

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[4:37] I think Q2 is going to be going to be pretty good, David. you know Q1 was plus 25% yearonear you know the consensus was plus 12 or 13 so the actual report was 100% better than street you know consensus it was above what we had expected to the estimate for Q2 is north of 20 we're expecting something north of 15 yearon year

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-08-15 pending

Chris Galipeau Inflation Rate Core PCE inflation will come in at 3.3% for full-year 2026

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[19:42] our forecast for this year for core PCE is three spot three. Worst just guided us to that exact number two weeks ago.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2027-01-31 pending

Chris Galipeau Fed Funds Rate The Federal Reserve will do nothing (hold rates) in the near term, at least through late 2026

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[20:16] So right now as we're sitting here two-year yields are about 50 basis points above the effective federal funds rate that suggests the Fed is likely to hike rates right fed fund futures market is pricing a cut sorry a hike in December... Our guess is, this is just our best guess is uh they do nothing here, at least in the near term.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-12-31 pending

Chris Galipeau US GDP US real GDP will grow approximately 2.5% in 2026

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[24:34] We don't need the Fed to cut rates here, right? Real GDP is probably going to grow two and a half. Economy is strong, consumer resilient, right?

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2027-01-30 pending

Chris Galipeau S&P 500 The S&P 500 will end 2026 in the range of 7,400 to 7,800, with pullbacks to buy during the summer

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[29:51] We're up 10% in the first 6 months. Our target range is 7,400 7,800. We're in the middle of that now. That's why I think you don't chase it here and and you buy pullbacks. We'll get some, David, right? It's a midterm year. We'll get some V this summer.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-12-31 pending

Chris Galipeau June 2026 Non-Farm Payrolls The June 2026 jobs report (releasing July 2, 2026) will come in at or slightly above the consensus forecast of 115,000

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[23:58] My guess is we have an inline to slightly higher number. And what I'm really interested in, if that's the case, is back to what we just talked about. I want to see what two-year and 10-year yields do coming out of that number tomorrow.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2026-07-02

Chris Galipeau Tech Stocks The AI and big tech capex spending cycle has a couple more years to run before it slows down

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[6:58] I think it's probably got a couple more years to go. You're right in that, you know, big tech capex spend has driven a lot of of GDP, right? And but but it's been real.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

The David Lin Report 2026-07-01 2028-07-01 pending