Michael Green Predictions
Chief Strategist and Portfolio Manager, Simplify Asset Management
Track Michael Green's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
1 forecast 1 pending
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1 forecast
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Michael Green S&P 500 A 1987-style market crash becomes nearly inevitable within approximately 2.5 years as passive investing share reaches the 65% threshold The Julia La Roche Show 2026-05-07 2028-11-07 pending
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[0:00] our conclusion is somewhere between 65% and about 80% the market enters into a stochcastic regime in which the possibility of explosive volatility and a 1987 style crash becomes not a probability but almost a certainty. So we're unfortunately very close. We're gaining about 4% a year in passive share right now. So at that 65% lower level, we're you know 2 and a half years out.
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