Lance Roberts Predictions

Portfolio Manager

Track Lance Roberts's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.

5 forecasts 1 wrong 4 pending
  • Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
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5 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Lance Roberts Germany Germany will be pushed into a recession due to high oil prices
See quote
[15:10] Germany which was already struggling just barely above recession levels anyway. This is almost assuredly going to push Germany into a recession.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-04-04 2026-12-31 pending
Lance Roberts S&P 500 The S&P 500 will experience more market weakness that may linger for a while
See quote
[0:22] there's a a good bit more market weakness that potentially may linger here for a while.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-21 2026-09-21 pending
Lance Roberts West Texas Intermediate Crude West Texas Intermediate crude oil prices will drop back to the $60 range by the end of 2026
See quote
[6:09] what markets are expecting, this will be a fairly short-lived event and then we're going to get back to business of growing the economy.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-21 2026-12-31 pending
Lance Roberts S&P 500 The S&P 500 will rally back above the 200 day moving average to 6720-6750 next week
See quote
[30:25] So, you can see this market rally back above the 200 day moving average next week. Uh get back to 6720, 6750 in there, that wouldn't be surprising at all.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-21 2026-03-28

The prediction claimed a rally back above the 200-day moving average to 6720-6750, but the period high during the target week was only $6651.62 on 2026-03-23, which falls short of the claimed 6720-6750 price target range by at least $68.38.
Lance Roberts S&P 500 The S&P 500 will rally starting within the next week through April, experience volatility through summer midterm elections, then rally into year end.
See quote
[25:48] we're going to get a rally maybe starting in the next week or so that goes through April and then we're going to get into summer, which is premidterm elections. I'd expect a lot more chop and volatility during the summer, get through till we get through the midterm elections and then a rally into year end.

Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.

Thoughtful Money 2026-03-14 2026-12-31 pending