Komal Sri-Kumar Predictions
President of Sri Kumar Global Strategies
Track Komal Sri-Kumar's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
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[6:28] So my expectation more rather than less. I'm going to expect one more cut in January to take place.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The Fed held rates steady at 3.5%-3.75% at its January 27-28, 2026 meeting, not cutting by 25 basis points as predicted. The FOMC voted to maintain the target range unchanged, pausing after three consecutive cuts in the fall of 2025. (https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/pressreleases/monetary20260128a.htm)
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[17:24] 2026 I expect the inflation rate to be anywhere 3 higher than 3%.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[17:58] And my expectation is you you are moving toward a recession in 2026.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[31:40] I expect before the end of 2026 we'll be at 5,000.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
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[5:29] I think happen again on Friday with the Fed's favorite measure the PCE core inflation rate which is going to show an increase
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The BEA released the July 2025 PCE report on Friday, August 29, 2025, showing core PCE inflation rose to 2.9% year-over-year, up from 2.8% in June 2025 — confirming the prediction of an increase. (https://www.bea.gov/news/2025/personal-income-and-outlays-july-2025)
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[12:09] you're going to have higher inflation in the coming months of this uh half of the year and perhaps at the beginning of 2026
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction that inflation would be higher in H2 2025 and early 2026 proved wrong. CPI fell from ~3.01% in September 2025 to 2.74% in November, 2.7% in December, and further to 2.4% in January and February 2026 — a clear downward trend, not an increase. (https://www.bls.gov/news.release/archives/cpi_01132026.htm)
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[23:08] I think there is still an increase coming in the price of gold and I've been saying that when it was at the beginning of the year it was about 2600 an ounce and we are about $800 higher and I still find it very attractive in terms of where they can go
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed gold prices would 'continue to increase from current levels around $3,400 per ounce,' and the period high reached $4,556.3 (a 35.1% increase from the $3,373.8 prediction date price), far exceeding the bullish claim of continued increases.
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[0:00] You are going to see the equities which rallied yesterday and today they are going to tank again in a big way.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
The prediction claimed equities would 'tank again in a big way,' but the period low of $5433.24 represents only a 1.7% decline from the prediction date price of $5528.75, which does not constitute a significant crash, while the period high reached 5% gains, contradicting the bearish forecast.