Arthur Laffer Predictions
Economist, Economic Advisor to President Trump
Track Arthur Laffer's public market predictions and forecast accuracy. Each prediction is recorded from the date it was published to its estimated deadline, then graded correct or wrong based on the outcome.
3 forecasts 3 pending
- Rankings only reflect predictions tracked on this site and do not represent a predictor's full record.
- Grading involves judgment and may not always be clear-cut.
- Submit corrections
3 forecasts
Person Subject Forecast* Source Date Deadline** Outcome
Arthur Laffer Inflation Rate Kevin Warsh will produce a significant reduction in inflation similar in nature (though smaller in magnitude) to Volcker's reduction from ~14-16% down to ~3.5% Thoughtful Money 2026-05-19 2030-05-19 pending
See quote
[17:42] I think you're going to see a smaller but equally as profound effect with Kevin Warsh. And so, I I've got my hopes hung closely on that.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Arthur Laffer Inflation Rate There is a serious risk of a significant bout of inflation over the next 3 years due to the reinforcing dynamic from oil prices and the Iran conflict Thoughtful Money 2026-05-19 2029-05-19 pending
See quote
[22:41] it will be very difficult uh for a good Fed policy to even with a price rule to bring that down sufficiently quickly to not have a real serious bout of inflation in the next 3 years.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.
Arthur Laffer 2026 Midterm Elections Republicans will lose the House and likely the Senate (or come very close) in the midterm elections Thoughtful Money 2026-05-19 2026-11-03 pending
See quote
[12:51] I don't know what's going to happen in the midterm elections. I'm assuming the Republicans are going to for sure lose the house and probably or 50/50. I'm just guessing from other people's that they lose the Senate as well or at least real close.
Extracted by AI from a YouTube transcript. May be inaccurate or missing context. Verify via source. Send a correction.